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<br />(.p <br /> <br />based upon the geometry of the river channel which was correlated <br />with actual flood flows on riv~rs to develop an equation relating <br />flood flow to channel geometry. Michael Burke with the San Juan <br />National Forest in Durango (247-4874) was contacted to determine the <br />applicability of the procedure to this study and he believed that it <br />was very applicable because the area is essentialy in the San Juan <br />Forest and is applicable to rivers of this size. The equations <br />shown herein are only applicable in the San Juan National Forest and <br />should not be used to estimate flc,ods in arlY other areas.. The <br />backup data' for the procedure is exter,sive and is thE'refore not <br />included, but is available on request. <br />The procedure is very simple emd for charmels more the 2121 feet <br />wide involves determining the width of the channel for the bankfull <br />discharge. The bankfull discharge is described as: "the high water <br />line corresponding to the dominant flow which establishes arId <br />mair,tians the active stream chal"nel and is frequer.tly observed by a <br />change in channel slope f~'om a rele,tiv..ly steep bank slope to a more <br />gentle'sloping surface beyor,d the charmel edge". The bar,kfull width <br />should be taken in at least three stable and straight sections in <br />the stream channel. The 1.5 year flood is then estimated with the <br />equation: flow in cfs = .96 times average channel width to the 1.65 <br />power. The 1121121 year flood is then estimated by multiplying the 1. 5 <br />year flood times 4.2. Again these factors and equations were <br />developed through correlations with actual measured floods. <br />The bankfull widths were surveyed at three sections, shown on <br />the map on the following page, for each of the two channels through <br />the subdivision. The table on the following page lists the bankfull <br />widths at each of the three sections and the average width. The <br />lower half of the table shows the estimated flood discharge for <br />various frequency fYoods. The 11210 year flood discharge is 18,121121121 <br />cfs. <br /> <br />Ur,fortunately, the two est irnated flood flows, 26,121121121 cfs <br />18,121121121 cfs, do not correspond very well. The two values would <br />to be the high and low possibilities fot' the 10121 year flQod <br />Both values are evaluated in the next section tQ determine if <br />is a significant difference in the flood boundaries and water <br />for the two est imates Qf the floQd peak. <br /> <br />and <br />seem <br />flow. <br />there <br />depth <br /> <br />1121121 Year Flood With VallecitQ Reservoir <br /> <br />The 1121121 year flood estimatiQn assuming that Vallecito Reservoir <br />would reduce the flood peak is based upon the Flood Insurance Study <br />Report. This report included the reservoir because a frequency <br />analysis were prepared using the stre.am flow records on the Pir,e <br />River at Bayfield. These records include the operation of the <br />reservoir since 1941. Thi~ ~rocedure resulted in a flood peak of <br />6121121121 cfs which ,is considerably less than the peak without the <br />reservoir, as would be expected. <br />The drainage area at the subdivision is 250 square miles as <br />compared to 349 square miles at Bayfield which would reduce the <br />floQd peak even further. The flood peak cannot be ,"educed by a <br />correlation of the areas because the drainage between the <br />subdivision and Bayfield is much different than above the <br />subdivision. An estimation of the reduced flood peak would require <br />additional data that is not available so 6121121121 cfs is a reasonable <br />estimate of the flood at the subdivision with Vallecito Reservoir. <br />This estimate is shown for informational purposes only and will not <br />