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<br />water rig-hI was not required to II1('ct the 'call and will' test in addition
<br />to pro\'ing rca.<;onablc diligence. I Io\\'c\'cr, in that case, the court
<br />already had determined that Chevron sufficiently demonstrated 'a
<br />steady' application of effort to complete its appropriation in a
<br />reasonably expedient and efficient mauller.' Under the facts of that
<br />case, that conclusion by the water court was sufficient to satisfy bOlh
<br />lhe 'can and will' standard and the reasonable diligence standard.
<br />In general, the 'can and >,,rill' test requires an applicant to establish
<br />'a 5llbs:antia! probability that this intended appropriation can and will
<br />rC;lch fruition. 'Proof of stich a substantial probability involves use
<br />of current information and necessarily imperfect predictions of future
<br />events and conditions.' An analysis of current economic conditions
<br />heyond the conlrol of the applicant is a part of the 'can and ",ill' test.
<br />We perceive no error in the water court's ruling either as to the
<br />statement of the law or the application of that law to the facts. The
<br />\~'aler court concluded that the oil shale project is technically feasible
<br />gi\'en currcnt tedHloiogy-or, in otiH.:r words, that GAry 'can'
<br />complete the project. The court found that OXY 'will' complete the
<br />project when the currt"nt economic conditions facing the oil shale
<br />industry' no longer exist. As we noted in Chevron, the General
<br />..\.sscmb!y has rn;].de J policy decision that the infeasibility of
<br />~levelopment of oil shale under current economic conditions should
<br />1101 cause applicants like OXY to lose their conditional rights. We are
<br />honnd by that policy determination."
<br />~ltJn. Subdist., N. Colo. \-Vater Conservancy Disc v. OXY USA. Inc, 990 P.2d 701,708
<br />(Colo. 1999) (citations omitted).
<br />
<br />keeping life ill a proprietary right and is no t:xcuse for failure to
<br />perform that which Ihe law requires.'
<br />In the instant case, thc \\'ater court's flnding that OXY
<br />demonstrated steady effort to complete the appropnatIOn was
<br />sufficicllt on this point. OXY's investments, in this diligence
<br />proceeding and earlier proceedings, demonstrate that it intends to
<br />pursue the project to completion in the future. No questions were
<br />raised about the need for the full water right<; once OXY actually
<br />begins to produce oil shale. Thf' only issues that the Subdistrict asserts
<br />are those related to economic feasibility and timing of the project.
<br />Accordingly, the water court findings are suIIicient to satisfy both the
<br />'can and will' st.andard and the anti-speculation requirements of
<br />Colorado law."
<br />!d. at i08-09 (citations omitted).
<br />
<br />Santa Fe Trail Ranches Property Owners Ass'n v. Simpson
<br />
<br />"The Subdistrict correctly claims that hexennial diligence
<br />applications are subject to the anti-speculation doctrine and that
<br />section 37-92-301 (4) (c) does not exempt conditional water rights from
<br />application of that doctrine, We declined to address this issue in
<br />Chevron because the parties did not properly raise the question before
<br />the water court.
<br />The anti-speculation doctrine, which prohibits the acquisition of a
<br />conditional right without a vested interest or a specific plan to possess
<br />and control water for a specific beneficial use, clearly applies to the
<br />initial entry of a conditional decree.
<br />The anti-speculation doctrine initially was intended to prohibit the
<br />entry of conditional decrees when the holder had nothing more than
<br />an intent to sell the right at an unknown time in the future for profit.
<br />However, because a conditional right, or some portion of that right,
<br />may become speculative over time, we now hold that just as the 'can
<br />and will' test continues to apply in later diligence proceedings, so does
<br />the anti-speculation doctrine. Again, the nature of a conditional water
<br />right dictates this conclusion. If a water right initially clears the anti-
<br />speculation hurdle, yet later becomes speculative, then the project is
<br />not moving toward completion and beneficial use. 'Speculation on
<br />the markel, or sale expectancy, is whoUy foreign to the principle of
<br />
<br />"Property right.s in water are usufructuary; ownership of the
<br />resource itself remains in the public. Because beneficial use defines
<br />the genesis and maturaLion of every appropriative water right in this
<br />state. we have held thai: ever"V decree indudes an impiied limitation
<br />that diversions cannot exceedl that which can be used beneficiallv, and
<br />that the right to change a water right is limited to that amount oiwater
<br />actually used beneficially pursuant to the decree at the appropriator's
<br />place of use. Thus, the right to change a point of diversion, or type,
<br />place, or time of use, is limited in quantity by the appropriation's
<br />historic use.
<br />These limitations advance the fundamental principles of Colorado
<br />and western water law that favor optimum use, efficient water
<br />management, and priority administration, and disfavor speculation
<br />and waste. Adherence to these principles serves to extend the benefit
<br />of the resource to as many water rights as there is water available for
<br />use in Colorado.
<br />Quantification of the amount of water beneficially consumed in
<br />the placement of water to the appropriator's use guards against
<br />rewarding wasteful practices or recognizing water claims that are not
<br />justified by the nature and extent of the appropriator's need."
<br />Santa Fe Trail Ranches Prop. Owners Ass'n v. Simpson, 990 P.2d 46, 54-55 (Colo.
<br />1999) (citations omitted).
<br />
<br />"An undecreed change of use of a water right cannot provide the
<br />basis for quantifying the right for change purposes. The amount of
<br />consumable water available for transfer depends upon the historic
<br />beneficial consumptive use of the appropriation for its decreed
<br />purpose at its place of use. However, when historic use of a water right
<br />has been litigated and determined through a prior change
<br />proceeding, the court's judgment and decree control the matter, and
<br />
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