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<br />. <br /> <br />Numerous irrigation canals cross the Dry Creek channel and directly <br />intercept drainage flows, as mentioned previously. Several of <br />these canals, including the Larimer and Weld Canal (Eaton Ditch), <br />the Larimer County Canal, the Terry Inlet, the Poudre Valley Canal, <br />and the North Poudre Ditch, have large enough flow capacity to <br />significantly affect flood magnitudes on Dry Creek. ~r the more <br />frequent flood events, the Larimer and Weld Canal (Eaton Ditch), <br />the Larimer County Canal, and the Terry Inlet were assumed to inter- <br />cept all Dry Creek flows reaching their channels (Reference 1). <br /> <br />. <br />\ <br /> <br />As development within the basin continues, these canals will inter- <br />cept greater flows on a more frequent basis. <br /> <br />This will increase the probability of sporadic overflows from the <br />canals, which can cause severe damage, particularly if an embank- <br />ment fails. For this reason, separation of drainage flows and <br />irrigation flows should be considered for at least the lower fre- <br />quency events (Reference 1). <br /> <br />There are no flood-control structures on the Cache La poudre River <br />in the study area, although there are two irrigation dams on the <br />North Fork Cache La Poudre River. The effect of the two dams is <br />considered negligible in the study area. There are no flood-control <br />structures that reduce discharges on Buckhorn Creek, Redstone Creek, <br />Fish Creek, Black Canyon Creek, or the Fall River. <br /> <br />3.0 <br /> <br />ENGINEERING METHODS <br /> <br />... <br /> <br />For the flooding sources studied in detail in the community, standard <br />hydrologic and hydraulic study methods were used to determine the flood <br />hazard data required for this study. Flood events of a magnitude which <br />are expected to be' equaled or exceeded once on the average during any <br />10-, 50-, 100-, or SOO-year period (recurrence interval) have been selected <br />as having special significance for flood plain management and for flood <br />insurance rates. These events, commonly termed the 10-, 50-, 100-, and <br />SOO-year floods, have a 10, 2, 1, and 0.2 percent chance, respectively, <br />of being equaled or exceeded during any year. Although the recurrence <br />interval represents the long term average period between floods of a <br />specific magnitude, rare floods could occur at short intervals or even <br />within the same year. The risk of experiencing a rare flood increases <br />when periods greater than 1 year are considered. For example, the risk <br />of having a flood which equals or exceeds the 100-year flood (1 percent <br />chance of annual exceedence) in any 50-year period is approximately 40 <br />percent (4 in 10), and, for any 90-year period, the ris,k increases to <br />approximately 60 percent (6 in 10). The analyses reported herein reflect <br />flooding potentials based on conditions existing in the community at the <br />time of completion of this study. Maps and flood elevations will be <br />amended periodically to reflect future changes. <br /> <br />. <br />. <br /> <br />11 <br />