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<br />J..... <br />- . <br /> <br />( <br />1 <br />( <br />( <br />i <br />} <br />( <br />I <br />[ <br />t <br />~ <br />[ <br />\ <br />\ <br />, <br />, <br />I, <br />( <br />( <br />t <br />t <br />\ <br />, <br />( <br />( <br />i <br />~ <br />( <br />, <br />, <br />l <br />I <br />( <br />I <br />( <br />, <br />" <br />I <br />1 <br />~ <br />( <br />\ <br />I <br />! <br />I' <br />i <br />t <br />f <br />, <br />! <br />I <br />i <br />i <br />t <br />\ <br />I <br />, <br />~ <br />( <br />i <br />i <br /><: <br />i <br />( <br />I <br />,. <br />I <br />" <br />" <br />I <br />" <br />f <br />f <br />I <br /> <br />CHAPTER 8 <br />FLOOD FORECAST, WARNING, AND EVACUATION <br /> <br />Description <br />Flood forecast, warning, and evacuation is a strategy to reduce flood losses by charting out a <br />plan of action to respond to 'a flood threat. The strategy includes, <br /> <br />. A system for early recognition and evaluation of potential floods. <br /> <br />. Procedures for issuance and dissemination of a flood warning. <br /> <br />. Arrangements for temporary evacuation of people and property. <br /> <br />. Provisions for installation of temporary protective measures, <br /> <br />. A means to maintain vital services. <br /> <br />. A plan for post-flood reoccupation and economic recovery of the flooded area. <br /> <br />Figure 8-1 illustrates the basic interaction between components of this strategy. Each covers a <br />broad spectrum of actions and reactions varying from responding to a visual flood threat to <br />sophisticated flood forecast, warning, and evacuation systems. The more sophisticated systems <br />require coordinated assistance from local, state and federal agencies. <br /> <br />Systems for early recognition and evaluation of potential floods are generally of two types: <br />Those for flooding of major stream systems and those related to flash floods. The National <br />Weather Service (NWS) has 13 River Forecasting Centers and 82 River District offices located <br />throughout the United States. Generally their forecasts predict stages on major river systems. <br />Flash flood systems are of many different types(3,4). These include, <br /> <br />. Self-contained community or county forecasting systems. <br /> <br />. Automatic flash flood alarm systems. <br /> <br />. NWS forecasting charts. <br /> <br />. Weather warning broadcasts. <br /> <br />. Manual observations. <br /> <br />Flood warning is the critical link between forecast and response. An effective warningprocess <br />will communicate the current and projected flood threat, reach all persons affected, account for <br />the activities of the community at the time of the threat (day, night, weekday, weekend), and <br />motivate persons to action. The decision to warn must be made by responsible agencies and <br />officials in a competent manner to maintain credibility of future warnings. <br /> <br />An effective warning needs to be followed by an effective response. This means effective and <br />orderly evacuation of people and property. Actions which can facilitate this include, <br /> <br />. Establishment of rescue, medical and fire squads. <br /> <br />. Identification of rescue and emergency equipment which can be utilized during a flood. <br /> <br />. Identification of priorities for evacuation. <br /> <br />. Surveillance of evacuation to insure safety and protect property. <br /> <br />58 <br />