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<br />The majority of the owners and managers of motels and other facilities in <br />the first 4 miles downstream from Cascade Dam were interviewed on July 19 <br />and 20 by the authors. Information on flood wave travel time, warnings <br />received, and response to those warnings was obtained. Table 2 summarizes <br />the warnings received in this portion of the flooded area as reported by <br />the interviewees. <br /> <br />Residents of downtown Estes Park became aware of the dam failure by <br />official notification from law enforcement officials, radio, from friends <br />and neighbors either in person or by telephone, or by observing unusual <br />activity by neighbors. Throughout the flooded area the telephones <br />remained operative until the flooding actually began. Informal interviews <br />with people in downtown Estes Park on July 15, a few hours after the flood <br />crest passed, indicated that most people received alerts between 10 <br />minutes to 1 hour before the water reached downtown Estes Park. <br /> <br />3. Response to the warnings. - Prompt and appropriate response to the <br />warnings helped reduce the number of injuries and fatalities. Most <br />individuals quickly evacuated the area. However, some ran toward the <br />river as the floodwaters approached to take photographs, retreating as the <br />flooding became more severe [21] and a few refused to leave when warned, <br />"We were standing in the street, yell ing at the dunmies to get out of <br />there," a Larimer County Sheriff said, "They saw the cars floating toward <br />them and then they dec i ded to move" [27]. <br /> <br />Evaluation of Warning Process <br /> <br />Early detection of the dam failure, coupled with alerts, warnings, and <br />evacuation orders issued by local law enforcement officials and carried over <br />Estes Park's only radin station, possibly saved hundreds of lives. Little <br />time was available to reduce losses to tangible property. The action of the <br />police, firemen, and deputies in sounding the warnings in time to prevent <br />loss of 1 i ves was described as "superb" by one sheriff [11]. A Denver <br />newspaper carried a lead article the day following the flood titled, "Early <br />Warnings Helped Save Lives" [6]. The people who were actually affected by <br />the flooding and who individually lost hundreds of thousands of dollars in <br />the flood had the following to say about the warning when interviewed by one <br />or both authors on July 19 and 20: "The evacuation was real good," "(The <br />officials) did a marvelous job of warning people," "We were fortunate to <br />receive as much warning as we did," "We had excellent warning," and "The <br />officials did an excellent job in warning people considering the time they <br />had." The only criticism of the warning among those interviewed outside the <br />park came from the owner of a motel and restaurant, which reportedly suffered <br />more than $1 million in damages. The owner said he received no official <br />warning but was called by a friend before the flooding began at his motel. <br /> <br />Criticism of the flood warning was expressed in a newspaper article carried <br />5 days after the flood titled, "Flood Warning Said Too Gentle" [7]. The <br />article was based upon telephone interviews with two of the sixteen people <br />who had been camped at the walk-in campsite area within Aspenglen Campground <br />[23, 32]. The newspaper reported that warnings issued by a ranger as he <br /> <br />5 <br /> <br />'--'! <br />