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Last modified
1/29/2010 10:12:00 AM
Creation date
10/5/2006 2:49:00 AM
Metadata
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Template:
Floodplain Documents
County
Douglas
Arapahoe
Community
Greenwood Village, Aurora
Stream Name
Cherry Creek
Basin
South Platte
Title
Probable Maximum Precipitation Study for Cherry Creek Reservoir - Related Technical Research Papers
Date
5/20/1990
Prepared For
CWCB
Prepared By
CWCB
Floodplain - Doc Type
Project
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<br />. <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />NWS 11 May 2001 <br /> <br />8. Table 14 in HMR 52 provides a list of the storms used to develop the within/without curves. <br />Averages of values from these 29 storms were used and smoothed. It is stated that the <br />authors of HMR 52 chose not to consider any regional variation that may exist in these storm <br />ratios. They additionally state that they consider this conclusion (i.e., not to consider regional <br />variations) to be justified at this time (1982) but add "however, future study should <br />investigate regional variation in depth-area relations" (HMR 55A, Section 11.3, page 153 <br />(ref. added)]. In the HMR 55A discussions related to Depth Area Duration Relations <br />(Section 11), it states that "DAD relationships in the non-orographic regions west of the <br />HMR No. 51 region should decrease with increasing area size at an even faster rate than they <br />do within the HMR No. 51 region." In light of these identified variations west of the HMR <br />51 region and the suggestion that future studies should investigate regional variations in <br />depth-area relations, why were not regional variations in the within/without curves <br />considered in the site-specific PMP study for Cherry Creek? (Tomlinson) <br /> <br />The group did not reach consensus. The NWS will examine a way to verify this <br />assumption. <br /> <br />Answer 8. <br /> <br />The storms selected to develop the within-without relations in HMR 52 were ones <br />in which, for a standard area size, the moisture-maximized average depth of <br />precipitation came within 90% of PMP for that storm location. A regional <br />variation from the "universal" within-without relations of HMR 52 would have to <br />be based on storms of the same magnitude, and there would have to be a number <br />of them to justify a regional departure from the "universal" relations. Neither <br />condition was met when The Study was prepared, nor are they now. <br /> <br />The second statement quoted here in full is, "This suggests that DAD relationships should <br />decrease with increasing area size at an even faster rate than they do within the HMR 51 <br />region." This sentence needs to be coupled with the previous sentence in HMR 55A, <br />Section 11.3.1, page 153. This sentence reads, "Presumably, this is due to the difficulty of <br />sustaining large area moisture inflows as the western edge of that study (l05th meridian) is <br />approached." The Cherry Creek basin is completely east of the 105th meridian. This <br />would indicate the second quote in the question above has no bearing upon The Study. <br />HMR 55A is saying the storms to be investigated are storms west of the 105th meridian, <br />not east of the 105th meridian. <br /> <br />10 <br />
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