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Last modified
1/29/2010 10:12:00 AM
Creation date
10/5/2006 2:49:00 AM
Metadata
Fields
Template:
Floodplain Documents
County
Douglas
Arapahoe
Community
Greenwood Village, Aurora
Stream Name
Cherry Creek
Basin
South Platte
Title
Probable Maximum Precipitation Study for Cherry Creek Reservoir - Related Technical Research Papers
Date
5/20/1990
Prepared For
CWCB
Prepared By
CWCB
Floodplain - Doc Type
Project
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<br />. <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />NWS 11 May 2001 <br /> <br />5. Since the western limit for the application of HMR 52 has varied from publication to <br />publication, what is the current western limit and how was it derived? (Tomlinson) <br /> <br />The group did not reach consensus. The NWS will examine a way to verify this <br />assumption. <br /> <br />Answer 5. <br /> <br />The westen! limit for HMR 52 procedures has always been and remains the 105th <br />meridian. This limit is not based on physical principles and is not "derived." <br />Rather, it has been based on the requirements established first in HMR 23 and <br />subsequently in HMR 33 and HMR 51 for those studies. <br /> <br />6. HMR 52 was not developed using storms considered transpositionable to the Cherry Creek <br />drainage basin. What analysis (i.e., analysis vs opinion) has been performed to demonstrate <br />the HMR 52 is appropriate for use for the non-orographic component of PMP for the Cherry <br />Creek location? (Tomlinson) <br /> <br />The group did not reach consensus. The NWS will examine a way to verify this <br />assumption. <br /> <br />Answer 6. <br /> <br />Analysis of storms through their classification by type (discussed in HMR 55A, <br />Section 2.5.3 and shown in Table 2.3) reveals that the storms at Cherry Creek and <br />Hale in 1935 were both of the complex convective, least orographic type. This <br />means that the same type of least-orographic, synoptic scale mechanisms in 1935 <br />were operating at each storm location. Use of storm classification by storm type <br />is a recognized method for transposition (see Section 2.5 and especially Section <br />2.5.2.2 of the Manual for Estimation of Probable Maximum Precipitation, WMO, <br />1986). Thus, the least-orographic characteristics of the storms at either location <br />may be relocated to the other after appropriate adjustments for elevation. <br /> <br />Since the storm at Hale occurred east of the 105th meridian, it was appropriate to <br />use information about it to develop HMR 52 procedures. HMR 52 procedures <br />may be used at any drainage east of the 105th meridian in connection with the non- <br />orographic component of precipitation. HMR 52 does nothing to "set the level" of <br />(non-orographic) PMP for a drainage, but simply sets out how an already <br />predetermined PMP level will be "distributed areally." In accomplishing this task, <br />the HMR 52 procedures ensure that levels of precipitation within a drainage will <br />never exceed PMP levels for any subarea of that drainage. The predetermined <br />levels of PMP that must apply to a given drainage at storm area sizes near the <br />actual area of that drainage, are reduced by HMR 52 when it takes the drainage's <br /> <br />8 <br />
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