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Last modified
1/25/2010 7:10:20 PM
Creation date
10/5/2006 2:35:53 AM
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Template:
Floodplain Documents
County
Statewide
Community
State of Colorado
Basin
Statewide
Title
The NWS Simplified Dam Break-Flood Forecasting Model
Date
5/16/1986
Prepared By
FEMA
Floodplain - Doc Type
Historic FEMA Regulatory Floodplain Information
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<br />To alleviate this potential problem and attempt to improve upon the <br />accuracy and versatility of existing simplified dam breach modelling <br />procedures, the NWS has developed the Simplified Dam-Break (SMPDBK) Flood <br />Forecasting Model. With this model, the user may within minutes produce <br />forecasts of the dam-break floodwave peak discharges, stages, and travel <br />times. It should be noted, however, that the use of the NWS SMPDBK model is <br />not limited to NWS flash flood hydrologists. Planners, designers, civil <br />defense officials, and consulting engineers who are concerned with the <br />potential effects of a dam failure and who have limited time, resources, <br />data, computer facilities, and/or experience with unsteady flow models may <br />also wish to employ the model to delineate the areas facing danger in a dam- <br />break emergency. <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />This document presents an outline of the NWS SMPDBK model's conceptual <br />basis. Appendix I gives a step-by-step guide and example of the computa- <br />tions involved in the model. Appendix II presents the FORTRAN computer code <br />for the automated (mini/micro-computer) version of the model and an example <br />run of that version. Appendix III presents the BASIC computer code for the <br />microcomputer or programmable hand-held computer version of the model. <br />Appendix IV presents the HP41C hand-held computer version of the model. <br /> <br />II. MODEL DEVELOPMENT <br /> <br />The SMPDBK model retains the critical deterministic components of the <br />numerical DAMBRK model while eliminating the need for large computer <br />facilities. SMPDBK accomplishes this by approximating the downstream <br />channel as a prism, neglecting the effects of off-channel storage, concern- <br />ing itself with only the peak flows, stage, and travel times, neglecting the <br />effects of backwater from downstream bridges and dams, and utilizing <br />dimensionless peak-flow routing graphs developed using the NWS DAMBRK <br />model. The applicability of the SMPDBK model is further enhanced by its <br />minimal data requirements; the peak flow at the dam may be calculated with <br />only four readily accessible data values and the downstream channel may be <br />defined by a single "average" cross-section, although prediction accuracy <br />increases with the number of cross-sections specified. <br /> <br />Three steps make up the procedure used in the SMPDBK model. These are: <br />(1) calculation of the peak outflow at the dam using the temporal and geo- <br />metrical description of the breach and the reservoir volume; (2) approxima- <br />tion of the channel downstream of the dam as a prismatic channel; and <br />(3) calculation of dimensionless routing parameters used with dimensionless <br />routing curves to determine the peak flow at specified cross sections down- <br />stream of the dam. <br /> <br />2.1 Breach Description <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />. Most investigators of dam-break flood waves have assumed that the <br />breach or opening formed in a failing dam encompassed the entire dam and <br />occurred instantaneously. While th!..s_"ssu_m.Qtion mav_l>E!_vali<L...fo.L.lLf~__. <br />concrete arch dams, it is not valid for...the exceedingly large number of <br />earth dams. Because earthen dams generally do not fail completely nor <br />instantaneously, the SMPDBK model allows for the investigation of partial <br />failures occurring over a finite interval of time. And, although the model <br />assumes a rectangular-shaped breach, a trapezoidal breach may be analyzed by <br />specifying a rectangular breach width that is equal to the average width of <br /> <br />3 <br />
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