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FLOOD06904
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Last modified
1/25/2010 7:10:17 PM
Creation date
10/5/2006 2:35:07 AM
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Floodplain Documents
County
Larimer
Basin
South Platte
Title
Hydrology, Geomorphology, and Dam-Break Modeling of the July 15, 1982 Lawn Lake Dam and Cascade Lake Dam Failures, Larimer County
Date
1/1/1986
Prepared For
Larimer County
Prepared By
USGS
Floodplain - Doc Type
Flood Documentation Report
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<br />50 <br /> <br />LAWN LAKE DAM AND CASCADE LAKE DAM FAILURES, COLORADO <br /> <br />subcritical flow was assumed. Computational cross sec- <br />tions were spaced at intervals that ranged from 0.02 mi <br />to 0.6 mi, depending on the segment of channel. Im- <br />mediately downstream from each dam, computational <br />cross sections were closely spaced to produce better <br />results where the flood hydrograph was changing rapidly. <br />The time step of the computations was computed <br />automatically; therefore, it was not directly controlled. <br />Generally, the time step varied by the position of the <br />flood wave. That is, during gradual changes in stage, the <br />time step was longest (a maximum of 15 min), and dur- <br />ing the maximum development of the breach and near <br />the peak flow when stages are changing rapidly the time <br />step was shortest (3 seconds). Base flow used to start the <br />model ranged from 250 ft'/s for reaches downstream <br />from Lawn Lake dam to 400 ft'ls for reaches down- <br />stream from Cascade Lake dam. These base flows were <br />higher than actual conditions, but were required by the <br />model for computational purposes. Estimated tributary <br />inflows were 150 ft'/s for the Fall River and 385 ft'ls for <br />the Big Thompson River. These inflows reflected esti- <br />mated base flows of these rivers and other minor tribu- <br />tary base flows. The initial water-surface elevation at each <br />cross section (surveyed and computational) was com- <br />puted by the normal depth method by the model. The <br />model's computational cross-section smoothing option <br />was not used. <br />The hydrologic routing method was used for each dam <br />to compute the dam-breach hydrographs. Storage- <br />capacity data and elevation of water surface at the time <br />of breach are shown in table 3 for each dam. Since Lawn <br />Lake dam probably failed from piping, the initial water <br />surface was set at 0.01 ft below the water surface at time <br />of failure. The initial water-surface elevation for Lawn <br />Lake dam was 10,996.41 ft. It was assumed that the <br />trapezoidal breach function in the model (an overtopp- <br />ing failure) would adequately model a piping failure, since <br />the piping breach developed so rapidly. An inflow <br />discharge of 350 ft'/s was used to raise the water sur- <br />face sufficiently to cause the Lawn Lake dam to fail by <br />overtopping (although the actual inflow probably was <br />about 25 ft'ls). An average side slope of the breach <br />(Lawn Lake dam=0.84; Cascade Lake dam=2.77), eleva- <br />tion of breach crest (Lawn Lake dam=10,975 ft; Cascade <br />Lake dam=8,460 ft) and bottom breach width at end of <br />failure (Lawn Lake dam=55 ft; Cascade Lake dam=80 <br />ft) were obtained from the cross-section data in the Sup- <br />plemental Cross-Section Data section at the end of the <br />report; these characteristics are shown in those sup- <br />plemental data for each dam. <br />1b operate the model in the Roaring River (discussed <br />later), an outlet discharge of 250 ft'ls was used. Prob- <br />ably less than 5 ft'/s flowed out the overflow. An outlet <br />discharge of 400 ft'ls was used for Cascade Lake dam. <br /> <br />Artificially high base flow in a reach of river is often re- <br />quired to operate the hydraulic routing component due <br />to computational difficulties when flow depths are <br />shallow (Cunge and others, 1980, p. 176). These high base <br />flows are small in relation to the observed peaks and do <br />not affect the flood-wave hydraulics. Elevations of the <br />crests of the dams used in the model were 10,996.42 ft <br />(actual water level at time of failure) for Lawn Lake dam <br />and 8,471.55 ft for Cascade Lake dam. The duration of <br />breach development, based on available data and judg- <br />ment, was 10 min for Lawn Lake dam and 1 min for <br />Cascade Lake dam. Although Lawn Lake dam may have <br />allowed a small rate of water to escape for several hours <br />prior to 0530 MITT, it was felt that the erosion of the em- <br />bankment to full breach width took about 10 min. Cas- <br />cade Lake dam toppled instantaneously due to 0vertop- <br />ping, but it was estimated it took about 1 min for the <br />water to move the remains of the dam and allow the water <br />to escape freely. The duration of model simulation was 5 <br />hours, which covered the passage of most of the flood wave. <br />Over one-half the length of the Roaring River channel <br />was extensively scoured, and the flood wave contained <br />large amounts of debris and boulders. Rapid channel <br />changes occurred during the flood passage, and the cross <br />sections probably do not reflect these conditions. Similar- <br />ly, high-water marks probably were set before the majori- <br />ty of scour; therefore, flood depths computed from these <br />data were not accurate. The postflood surveyed cross sec- <br />tions shown in Supplemental Cross-Secti.on Data were us- <br />ed in the hydraulic routing. Debris and boulders had an <br />unknown effect on the flow characteristics (particularly <br />in the Roaring River), but certainly did not meet the <br />model assumption of clear waterflow. These problems <br />were recognized, but accurate solutions, if possible, are <br />very complex. Therefore, the objective of modeling flow <br />in the Roaring River was to develop a breach hydrograph <br />and route it downstream to give reasonable results based <br />on the observed traveltime and documented peak dis- <br />charges farther downstream. Small bridges and culverts <br />in the flood path were assumed to have negligible effects <br />on flow conditions. <br /> <br />MODEL CALIBRATION <br /> <br />Model calibration was made to obtain the best fit, <br />based on observed peak discharges (table 2), flow depths <br />(table 4), and traveltime (table 6). Parameters available <br />for calibration in the model were Manning's roughness <br />coefficient (n-values), expansion and contraction coeffi- <br />cients. and designation of cross-section active and inac- <br />tive flow areas. As described in the section "Peak Stage <br />and Discharge," the selection of n-values was extremely <br />
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