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<br />22 <br /> <br />LAWN LAKE DAM AND CASCADE LAKE DAM FAILURES, COLORADO <br /> <br />geomorphic work, and to cause great modifications to <br />the channels and valleys below the dams (as described <br />in "Geomorphic Effects of the Flood"). <br /> <br />TRAVELTIME <br /> <br />Immediately after the flood, personnel of the U.s. <br />Bureau of Reclamation interviewed residents along the <br />flood path and compiled written statements to evaluate <br />the dissemination of and response to the flood warnings. <br />This information, in conjunction with streamflow-gaging <br />station, Lake Estes inflow, and stream mileage data, pro- <br />vided data to compute the traveltime of the flood wave. <br />Apparently no one observed the failure of Lawn Lake <br />dam, and the time of failure is uncertain. Campers at <br />Lawn Lake reported hearing a roar between 0200 MDT <br />and 0400 MDT, which probably corresponded to in- <br />creased flows through a partial failure. The amount of <br />water probably was quite small (perhaps less than <br />100 ft'/s), because campers along the Roaring River <br />were not affected. Other information supported a small <br />partial failure this early. L. V. Davis. the owner of Cascade <br />Cottages at Cascade Lake dam, reported flow was slight- <br />ly higher than usual at 0700 MDT, before the main flood <br />wave arrived at the dam at about 0715 MDT. Based on <br />available information, it appears that Lawn Lake dam <br />failure occurred about 0530 MDT, just before sunrise. <br />Because campers along the Roaring River understand- <br />ably were more concerned with fleeing the wall of water, <br />their estimates of time may be only approximate. <br />Observers along the remainder of the flood path were <br />easily able to distinguish the leading edge of muddy <br />floodwaters from the normally clear streamflow. Accord- <br />ing to Stephen Gillette, a truck driver forA-l 'frash Serv- <br />ices, who was the first to report the flood at 0623 MDT, <br />floodwaters reached Horseshoe Falls at about 0615 MDT <br />and u.s. Highway 34 in Horseshoe Park at 0634 MDT <br />(fig. 1). According to Mr. Davis, floodwaters reached <br />Cascade Lake dam at 0715 MDT, causing its failure at <br />0742 MDT. Estes Park police reported that floodwaters <br />reached Estes Park a little after 0830 MDT. Floodwaters <br />reached 06733000 Big Thompson River at Estes Park <br />streamflow-gaging station (Site 6) at 0835 MDT, and per- <br />sonnel of the U.S. Bureau of Reclamation reported that <br />.water levels started rising in Lake Estes at 0847 MDT. <br />It was more difficult to determine when the peak was <br />occurring, as no distinctive hydraulic feature existed. <br />Both Rann Schultz and Dan Davis of the National Park <br />Service, as well as Stephen Gillette, provided information <br />to estimate that the peak followed the leading edge by <br />less than 40 min, or about 0700 MDT, at U.s. Highway <br />34 in Horseshoe Park (fig. 1). As the flood traveled only <br />0.6 mi through the flatter Horseshoe Park, this estimate <br />appeared quite long, considering that the flood was a <br /> <br />"wall of water" in the Roaring River. Based on informa- <br />tion provided by Rann Schultz, the peak followed the <br />leading edge by about 25 min, or about 0748 MDT, at <br />the Aspenglen Campground access road,located 0.4 mi <br />downstream from Cascade Lake dam. Dave Thomas, <br />broadcasting the flood's progress from a KSIR radio <br />mobile-transmitter station 1.2 mi upstream from Estes <br />Park, indicated the peak followed the leading edge by <br />18 min, or at 0830 MDT. Based on a stage hydrograph <br />reconstruction at 06733000 Big Thompson River at <br />Estes Park streamflow-gaging station, just upstream <br />from Lake Estes, the peak followed the leading edge by <br />30 min or at 0905 MDT. Inflow to Lake Estes peaked <br />between 0910 MDT and 0915 MDT (use 0912 MDT for <br />the peak time). or 25 min after the lake began rising. <br />Unfortunately, because of limited and approximate <br />peak-time data, it is not possible to determine whether <br />the peak was moving faster than the leading edge of the <br />flood wave, as would be expected. <br />A summary of data related to time of flooding <br />prepared by Graham and Brown (1983) is shown in <br />table 6 and graphicaily summarized in figure 15. The <br />lower line in figure 15 corresponds' to the arrival time <br />of the flood; the upper line in figure 15 corresponds to <br />the peak time of the flood. Traveltimes for the arrival <br />time of the flood were summarized for three channel <br />segments, based on fairly uniform reach traveltimes <br />(fig. 15). The speed of the leading edge of the flood (and <br />probably the peak) averaged 9.1 milh (miles per hour) <br />in the Roaring River, 2.1 milh in the Fall River through <br />Horseshoe Park, and 4.0 milh from Cascade Lake dam <br />on the Fall River to Lake Estes. Overall the speed of the <br />leading edge of the flood averaged 3.8 milh. Consider- <br />ing the high-gradient channels, these traveltimes were <br />slow. Apparently, this slowness was because the chan- <br />nels were extremely rough, and tremendous amounts of <br />debris in the water, particularly in the Roaring River, <br />produced the slow speed of the flood wave. <br /> <br />DESCRIPTION OF <br />FLOOD-WAVE CHARACTERISTICS <br /> <br />Specific details of the flood wave are of interest in <br />understanding flow hydraulics. Understanding of flood- <br />wave characteristics is important as they are the major <br />cause of property damages, geomorphic changes, and <br />are a factor in implementing flood warnings. Flood-wave <br />characteristics varied along the flood path; therefore, <br />they are discussed by various segments where <br />characteristics are fairly uniform for that segment. <br />Channel slope is the dominant factor in establishing <br />these segments (fig. 2.) <br />