<br />22
<br />
<br />LAWN LAKE DAM AND CASCADE LAKE DAM FAILURES, COLORADO
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<br />geomorphic work, and to cause great modifications to
<br />the channels and valleys below the dams (as described
<br />in "Geomorphic Effects of the Flood").
<br />
<br />TRAVELTIME
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<br />Immediately after the flood, personnel of the U.s.
<br />Bureau of Reclamation interviewed residents along the
<br />flood path and compiled written statements to evaluate
<br />the dissemination of and response to the flood warnings.
<br />This information, in conjunction with streamflow-gaging
<br />station, Lake Estes inflow, and stream mileage data, pro-
<br />vided data to compute the traveltime of the flood wave.
<br />Apparently no one observed the failure of Lawn Lake
<br />dam, and the time of failure is uncertain. Campers at
<br />Lawn Lake reported hearing a roar between 0200 MDT
<br />and 0400 MDT, which probably corresponded to in-
<br />creased flows through a partial failure. The amount of
<br />water probably was quite small (perhaps less than
<br />100 ft'/s), because campers along the Roaring River
<br />were not affected. Other information supported a small
<br />partial failure this early. L. V. Davis. the owner of Cascade
<br />Cottages at Cascade Lake dam, reported flow was slight-
<br />ly higher than usual at 0700 MDT, before the main flood
<br />wave arrived at the dam at about 0715 MDT. Based on
<br />available information, it appears that Lawn Lake dam
<br />failure occurred about 0530 MDT, just before sunrise.
<br />Because campers along the Roaring River understand-
<br />ably were more concerned with fleeing the wall of water,
<br />their estimates of time may be only approximate.
<br />Observers along the remainder of the flood path were
<br />easily able to distinguish the leading edge of muddy
<br />floodwaters from the normally clear streamflow. Accord-
<br />ing to Stephen Gillette, a truck driver forA-l 'frash Serv-
<br />ices, who was the first to report the flood at 0623 MDT,
<br />floodwaters reached Horseshoe Falls at about 0615 MDT
<br />and u.s. Highway 34 in Horseshoe Park at 0634 MDT
<br />(fig. 1). According to Mr. Davis, floodwaters reached
<br />Cascade Lake dam at 0715 MDT, causing its failure at
<br />0742 MDT. Estes Park police reported that floodwaters
<br />reached Estes Park a little after 0830 MDT. Floodwaters
<br />reached 06733000 Big Thompson River at Estes Park
<br />streamflow-gaging station (Site 6) at 0835 MDT, and per-
<br />sonnel of the U.S. Bureau of Reclamation reported that
<br />.water levels started rising in Lake Estes at 0847 MDT.
<br />It was more difficult to determine when the peak was
<br />occurring, as no distinctive hydraulic feature existed.
<br />Both Rann Schultz and Dan Davis of the National Park
<br />Service, as well as Stephen Gillette, provided information
<br />to estimate that the peak followed the leading edge by
<br />less than 40 min, or about 0700 MDT, at U.s. Highway
<br />34 in Horseshoe Park (fig. 1). As the flood traveled only
<br />0.6 mi through the flatter Horseshoe Park, this estimate
<br />appeared quite long, considering that the flood was a
<br />
<br />"wall of water" in the Roaring River. Based on informa-
<br />tion provided by Rann Schultz, the peak followed the
<br />leading edge by about 25 min, or about 0748 MDT, at
<br />the Aspenglen Campground access road,located 0.4 mi
<br />downstream from Cascade Lake dam. Dave Thomas,
<br />broadcasting the flood's progress from a KSIR radio
<br />mobile-transmitter station 1.2 mi upstream from Estes
<br />Park, indicated the peak followed the leading edge by
<br />18 min, or at 0830 MDT. Based on a stage hydrograph
<br />reconstruction at 06733000 Big Thompson River at
<br />Estes Park streamflow-gaging station, just upstream
<br />from Lake Estes, the peak followed the leading edge by
<br />30 min or at 0905 MDT. Inflow to Lake Estes peaked
<br />between 0910 MDT and 0915 MDT (use 0912 MDT for
<br />the peak time). or 25 min after the lake began rising.
<br />Unfortunately, because of limited and approximate
<br />peak-time data, it is not possible to determine whether
<br />the peak was moving faster than the leading edge of the
<br />flood wave, as would be expected.
<br />A summary of data related to time of flooding
<br />prepared by Graham and Brown (1983) is shown in
<br />table 6 and graphicaily summarized in figure 15. The
<br />lower line in figure 15 corresponds' to the arrival time
<br />of the flood; the upper line in figure 15 corresponds to
<br />the peak time of the flood. Traveltimes for the arrival
<br />time of the flood were summarized for three channel
<br />segments, based on fairly uniform reach traveltimes
<br />(fig. 15). The speed of the leading edge of the flood (and
<br />probably the peak) averaged 9.1 milh (miles per hour)
<br />in the Roaring River, 2.1 milh in the Fall River through
<br />Horseshoe Park, and 4.0 milh from Cascade Lake dam
<br />on the Fall River to Lake Estes. Overall the speed of the
<br />leading edge of the flood averaged 3.8 milh. Consider-
<br />ing the high-gradient channels, these traveltimes were
<br />slow. Apparently, this slowness was because the chan-
<br />nels were extremely rough, and tremendous amounts of
<br />debris in the water, particularly in the Roaring River,
<br />produced the slow speed of the flood wave.
<br />
<br />DESCRIPTION OF
<br />FLOOD-WAVE CHARACTERISTICS
<br />
<br />Specific details of the flood wave are of interest in
<br />understanding flow hydraulics. Understanding of flood-
<br />wave characteristics is important as they are the major
<br />cause of property damages, geomorphic changes, and
<br />are a factor in implementing flood warnings. Flood-wave
<br />characteristics varied along the flood path; therefore,
<br />they are discussed by various segments where
<br />characteristics are fairly uniform for that segment.
<br />Channel slope is the dominant factor in establishing
<br />these segments (fig. 2.)
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