<br />Creek fan to South Platte, which produced about a meter of agradation in pools, For many
<br />bumed basins, the location of exposed bedrock or firm ground used to estimate discharge
<br />changed for each storm (within +/- -100 m of other sites) due to shifting channels, Therefore, a
<br />fixed streamflow'gaging station may not produce reliable records without the use of a costly
<br />control (e,g., weir, flume) or may need to be moved,
<br />
<br />Flood-transported sediments and debris in Spring Creek dammed the South Platte River to a
<br />depth of about 3 m, which caused backwater (ponding) and reduced the peak flow from Spring
<br />Creek, The peak flow was 240 m3/s (+/- 20%) in the South Platte River downstream from
<br />Spring Creek (fig, 1, site 5), about 270 m3/s less than the Spring Creek peak flow. Without this
<br />ponding and attenuation of the Spring Creek flood, the peak flow at the South Platte River gage
<br />could have been as large as 595 m3/s,
<br />
<br />Effects of the Buffalo Creek Wildfire
<br />
<br />Two approaches were used to estimate the effect of the fire on flood runoff, First, July 12, 1996
<br />flood data for severely bumed and unbumed basins, which had similar rainfall amounts, were
<br />plotted against contributing drainage area (fig. 10), Peak discharge from severely bumed basins
<br />was 20-40 times larger than for unbumed basins. Unbumed basins within areas of maximum
<br />rainfall had minimal runoff, which likely reflects rainfall interception by the duff in unbumed areas; in
<br />addition, basin slopes in unbumed areas generally are 20 percent or less, Slightly bumed areas,
<br />which might have similar runoff as prescribed-bum watersheds, had substantial flood and
<br />sediment runoff, but less than moderately- and severely-bumed basins, A number of severely-
<br />bumed basins in areas near maximum rainfall had unit discharges (peak discharge divided by
<br />drainage area) of about 60 m3/slkm2; the maximum unit discharge is about 40 m3/slkm2 for all
<br />previous Colorado floods (Jarrett, 1990), Since the fire, rainstorms have produced 9 floods (5 in
<br />1996 and 4 in 1997) larger than the estimated 100-year (pre-fire) flood (FEMA, 1986); most storms
<br />were preceded by 5 to 10 mm of rainfall, Continued flooding from small rainstorms and having
<br />similar runoff as in 1996 indicate that little watershed recovery has occurred by the fall of 1997,
<br />
<br />Flood-frequency relations for Sand Draw and the South Platte River at South Platte with .
<br />corresponding July 12, 1996, peak discharges are shown on figure 11, Trans-basin diversions
<br />were assumed to be negligible on large flood peaks and hence the upper end of the frequency
<br />relation for the South Platte River. On July 12, 1996, peak discharges in small, burned basins
<br />such as Sand Draw, Spring Creek, Spring Gulch, and Shinglemill Creek were about 10 times
<br />larger than the 1 OO-year flood, On Sand Draw, and other small tributaries in bumed basins near
<br />the center of the storm, peak discharges exceeded the 1 ,OOO-yr flood,
<br />
<br />.
<br />
<br />The second approach compared flood data for bumed areas in Buffalo Creek with other Colorado
<br />Front Range foothill extreme floods resulting from about 150 to 175 mm of rain in about an hour in
<br />similar basins (slopes, soils, vegetation) that were unbumed (fig, 10), Maximum rainfall on July
<br />12, 1996 for Buffalo Creek in bumed areas is similar to large rainfall amounts for unbumed basins
<br />in Colorado, Maximum peak discharges for the July 12, 1996 rainstorm produced flood peaks
<br />about 1,5 times larger than floods in unbumed basins elsewhere in the Colorado Front Range
<br />(fig, 10), A number of severely-bumed basins in areas near maximum rainfall had unit discharges
<br />(peak discharge divided by drainage area) of about 60 m3/slkm2; the maximum unit discharge is
<br />about 40 m3/s/km2 for all previous Colorado floods (Jarrett, 1990), The combined peak discharge
<br />for Buffalo Creek and Spring Creek is about 960 m3/s (-50 km2 contributing bumed area), which
<br />is greater than the 1976 flood of 883 m3/s in the Big Thompson River (McCain et aI., 1979) from a
<br />contributing area of about 250 km2, Clearly, the wildfire had a major role in the severity of flooding
<br />in Buffalo Creek, Because the area of maximum rainfall was within the bumed area, rainfall-runoff
<br />modeling is necessary to estimate potential flood runoff, without the fire,
<br />
<br />Effects of Watershed Rehabilitation
<br />
<br />Watershed-rehabilitation efforts utilized to help restore the Buffalo Creek bumed area include
<br />aerial and ground seeding; bonded,fiber matrix; soil tilling; contour tree felling; log and strawbale .
<br />check dams; and untreated natural recovery (Casey Clapsaddle, USFS, written commun" 1996),
<br />
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