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<br />Creek fan to South Platte, which produced about a meter of agradation in pools, For many <br />bumed basins, the location of exposed bedrock or firm ground used to estimate discharge <br />changed for each storm (within +/- -100 m of other sites) due to shifting channels, Therefore, a <br />fixed streamflow'gaging station may not produce reliable records without the use of a costly <br />control (e,g., weir, flume) or may need to be moved, <br /> <br />Flood-transported sediments and debris in Spring Creek dammed the South Platte River to a <br />depth of about 3 m, which caused backwater (ponding) and reduced the peak flow from Spring <br />Creek, The peak flow was 240 m3/s (+/- 20%) in the South Platte River downstream from <br />Spring Creek (fig, 1, site 5), about 270 m3/s less than the Spring Creek peak flow. Without this <br />ponding and attenuation of the Spring Creek flood, the peak flow at the South Platte River gage <br />could have been as large as 595 m3/s, <br /> <br />Effects of the Buffalo Creek Wildfire <br /> <br />Two approaches were used to estimate the effect of the fire on flood runoff, First, July 12, 1996 <br />flood data for severely bumed and unbumed basins, which had similar rainfall amounts, were <br />plotted against contributing drainage area (fig. 10), Peak discharge from severely bumed basins <br />was 20-40 times larger than for unbumed basins. Unbumed basins within areas of maximum <br />rainfall had minimal runoff, which likely reflects rainfall interception by the duff in unbumed areas; in <br />addition, basin slopes in unbumed areas generally are 20 percent or less, Slightly bumed areas, <br />which might have similar runoff as prescribed-bum watersheds, had substantial flood and <br />sediment runoff, but less than moderately- and severely-bumed basins, A number of severely- <br />bumed basins in areas near maximum rainfall had unit discharges (peak discharge divided by <br />drainage area) of about 60 m3/slkm2; the maximum unit discharge is about 40 m3/slkm2 for all <br />previous Colorado floods (Jarrett, 1990), Since the fire, rainstorms have produced 9 floods (5 in <br />1996 and 4 in 1997) larger than the estimated 100-year (pre-fire) flood (FEMA, 1986); most storms <br />were preceded by 5 to 10 mm of rainfall, Continued flooding from small rainstorms and having <br />similar runoff as in 1996 indicate that little watershed recovery has occurred by the fall of 1997, <br /> <br />Flood-frequency relations for Sand Draw and the South Platte River at South Platte with . <br />corresponding July 12, 1996, peak discharges are shown on figure 11, Trans-basin diversions <br />were assumed to be negligible on large flood peaks and hence the upper end of the frequency <br />relation for the South Platte River. On July 12, 1996, peak discharges in small, burned basins <br />such as Sand Draw, Spring Creek, Spring Gulch, and Shinglemill Creek were about 10 times <br />larger than the 1 OO-year flood, On Sand Draw, and other small tributaries in bumed basins near <br />the center of the storm, peak discharges exceeded the 1 ,OOO-yr flood, <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />The second approach compared flood data for bumed areas in Buffalo Creek with other Colorado <br />Front Range foothill extreme floods resulting from about 150 to 175 mm of rain in about an hour in <br />similar basins (slopes, soils, vegetation) that were unbumed (fig, 10), Maximum rainfall on July <br />12, 1996 for Buffalo Creek in bumed areas is similar to large rainfall amounts for unbumed basins <br />in Colorado, Maximum peak discharges for the July 12, 1996 rainstorm produced flood peaks <br />about 1,5 times larger than floods in unbumed basins elsewhere in the Colorado Front Range <br />(fig, 10), A number of severely-bumed basins in areas near maximum rainfall had unit discharges <br />(peak discharge divided by drainage area) of about 60 m3/slkm2; the maximum unit discharge is <br />about 40 m3/s/km2 for all previous Colorado floods (Jarrett, 1990), The combined peak discharge <br />for Buffalo Creek and Spring Creek is about 960 m3/s (-50 km2 contributing bumed area), which <br />is greater than the 1976 flood of 883 m3/s in the Big Thompson River (McCain et aI., 1979) from a <br />contributing area of about 250 km2, Clearly, the wildfire had a major role in the severity of flooding <br />in Buffalo Creek, Because the area of maximum rainfall was within the bumed area, rainfall-runoff <br />modeling is necessary to estimate potential flood runoff, without the fire, <br /> <br />Effects of Watershed Rehabilitation <br /> <br />Watershed-rehabilitation efforts utilized to help restore the Buffalo Creek bumed area include <br />aerial and ground seeding; bonded,fiber matrix; soil tilling; contour tree felling; log and strawbale . <br />check dams; and untreated natural recovery (Casey Clapsaddle, USFS, written commun" 1996), <br /> <br />6 <br />