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<br />CONC1.US10N <br />FEMA wUl continue eo u..e the tbed-bed IllOde18 to del!n..t.e the n. <br />boundar!e' And detine th. tloo41n9 water aurtace .levation. ta~ the NAt <br />Flood In,ur.no. Stl,1di... The oollllllJ.t:.tee cUd not 9ive l"BKA ~e model ,.1, <br />criterie} hwever, the COllllU.tte. 414 reooll\lMlnd that then 18 a need to <br />undertake an ettort to ol...lty n.tu.rAl river. in ta~ ot their hydreu <br />geomorphologio.l. oharaoteri.tic. to prov!de lor aeltH.tion Clnd Applioati' <br />Appropriate =od.l, that u.. appropttate con8tituent torml,11ation8 for ae <br />di,ohar98, chanpel rou9hn..', and b6nk erodibility. <br /> <br />8Od81. to predict the river tlood atage' along" the .rodibl. ch.nnel., and to <br />know th. .v.il.bility of cl,1rrent .rodibl.-b.d .od.la. In additlon, lt 1, .1'0 <br />....ntl.l to FEMA'. hydrolo91't or hYdraUliO .n91ne.r' to have . par...t.r or <br />. ..t at parameter' for~d from the phyalcal el...nta of flov .yat.. .ith.r by <br />ti.ld ob.eTv.tion or by mathematic formul.tion, in order to provide the <br />engin..t with. tool to .el.ct the ~.t DOd.l for the flood inaurance .tudy. <br /> <br />EV~LUATION or EXISTING ERODIBLE-BED MODELS FOR FLOOD INSURANCE S~UO~ <br />In Al,1gu8t ot 1981, lEMA had a contr.ct with the NationAl Ac.d.~ ot <br />Bci.nce (NAB) to evaluate the current exiatin9 erodible-bed .odele which can <br />be used to compute the flood atage. at elevation. tor the National FlOOd <br />Inal,1rance progr.m. NAS org.nized A .p.cial c~ttee re.pon.iol. tor the <br />t.chnical evaluation. Thi. co~tt.e wa. cho..n to include expert. in river <br />engineerlnq, hydraulic., hydrology and riv.r DOTphology and with regard for <br />appropriate balance_ Or. John F. xennedy wa. the chairman at the co~ttee. <br />Four modelera and eix model. were .eL.cted by the o~tt.e tor thi. <br />.tudy. <br /> <br />1. <br /> <br />Dr. Ranjan Ariatburai - MOdel SEDIMENT (4H) <br /> <br />2. <br /> <br />Dr. Howard Ch.nq - Model Pluvial (II) <br /> <br />3. <br /> <br />Hydrologic Engineering Cent.r, U.S. Aray Corp_ at Engin.er. - <br />Hodel KEC;-6 <br /> <br />4. <br /> <br />Simone. Li . ~.aoci.te., Inc., Fort Collin8, Color.do _ <br />Hod.l8 HEC26R, KUWASER and UUWSR <br /> <br />Three 8tudy rivera were aelected on the baai. ot hi8torically having <br />experienced fl.ah-flood with appreciable river-bed chan~. and ch~nel <br />migration during tlooda ch.racteriz&4 QY atabl., ccnf1ne4 channele and <br />un'table, di.turbed channel.. Tho.e three te.t ~&. .ra, <br /> <br />1. <br /> <br />San Lorenzo River located in Santa Cru& COl,1nty in northern <br />California, <br /> <br />2. <br /> <br />San Dieguito River locat.d in San Die90 COunty in .outharn <br />Calitornia, .nd <br /> <br />3. <br /> <br />Salt River loc.ted in Har.copa County, ~izona. <br /> <br />3.32 <br /> <br />': <br /> <br />Co~tt.e'a concluaion.. <br /> <br />,. The prJ.nc1pal 4..ric1eno1e' of the erodible-bed. ll\Od.ele. <br /> <br />.. uilreliable formulation ot the .ed.im.nt diacharge c.paoit <br />How., <br /> <br />b. In.dequate tormul.tlon of the v.rlable frlction tactor 0 <br />e1'o41))1e-'be4 flow., <br /> <br />c. <br /> <br />inadequate formulat1on of the machanic. of bed armorinq <br />ttle1r ethct. on. .ediMnt...di.chuge capacity, triction t <br />.Ad) <br /> <br />d. <br /> <br />inad.quate formul.tion of the mechanic. of bank .r08ion <br />und.era.ininq. <br /> <br />2. <br /> <br />Th. efhct ot riv.r-bed deqrad&tion and .ggradation on water-I <br />el.v.t.1on durinv flood p.....V. i. much araalbr than the efho' <br />the uncert.int,ie. of chann.l rouwhn... or flow friotion faotoJ <br />..dim.At input, an4 initial ohannel geom.try. <br /> <br />3. <br /> <br />The available input dat. on ~hannel Veom.try, bed-mAterial <br />character1etic. generally are inadequate to permit tull utilil <br />of the c.pabil1U.. ot erod.ible-bed modeb. <br /> <br />.. <br /> <br />For 'the ,everely 41.turbed river. whioh have experienc.d .xtrt <br />100.1 degradat.lon or &Vgr&4ation throuqh man'. intervention, <br />ut.1U..aation ot uo41b1.e-be4 1D04e~. ught be una in flood in.... <br />. tud1e.. <br /> <br />5. <br /> <br />Bacau.e of the d..f101enoi.. mentioned .bove, riqid.-boundary me <br />ahould ~ utilized for f1004 1na~ranc. atud1.., and attention <br />be directed toward ex~nlnV the .en.itlvity ot the.e model. 1 <br />~no.rt.lntl.. and variatione in chann.l rouCf'hn..., channel qec <br />and chann.l 'lope. <br /> <br />6. <br /> <br />It 11 unlikely that & IIlOv.able-b.d model ",111 be forthcomin9 1 <br />apvl1cable to .11 typ.e ot: river.. In other worda, .I.ch 1lKl4e: <br />be more depencSabl. tor the river of the type tor whloh it va. <br />de",elope4. <br /> <br />3.33 <br />