Laserfiche WebLink
<br />The primary source of projections, that is up-to-date, easily <br /> <br />accessible, and identified by ~ is OBERS. OBERS stands for the Office <br /> <br />of Business Economics (which is part of the Bureau of Economic Analysis <br /> <br /> <br />(BEA) of the U.S. Department of Commerce) and the Economic Research <br /> <br /> <br />Service (ERS) (which is part of the U.S. Department of Agriculture). The <br /> <br /> <br />acronym has been preserved, even though ERS is no longer involved. OBERS <br /> <br /> <br />is published every five years by BEA. OBERS projections are published for <br /> <br /> <br />the Nation, each of the 50 states, the District of Columbia, and each of <br /> <br /> <br />the 330 Standard Metropolitan Statistical Areas (SMSA). The 1985 <br />publication includes figures for 1969, 1973, 1978, 1983, 1990, 1995, 2000, <br />2005, 2015, and 2035. The state figures include population and personal <br />income, as well as earnings and employment for 57 industrial groups. <br />Metropolitan earnings and employment figures are limited to 14 industrial <br />groups. Further breakdowns of county data can be de~eloped under contract <br /> <br /> <br />to BEA. The aggregated figures for the study area should be equal to the <br /> <br /> <br />figures defined by OBERS for the entire BEA region. Any exception to the <br /> <br /> <br />OBERS projections should be supported by evidence of why projections for <br /> <br /> <br />that area would be different, such as when major industrial development or <br /> <br />a public institution is planned. <br /> <br />Projections of economic activity within the study area are based on <br /> <br />three major factors: 1) the attributes of the study area; 2) the <br /> <br /> <br />attributes sought after by potential activities; and, 3) the availability <br /> <br /> <br />of sought after attributes in the surrounding area. <br /> <br /> <br />Potential future use should first be specified by broad categories <br /> <br /> <br />including: residential, commercial, industrial, public use, open space, <br /> <br /> <br />recreational, and agricultural (in areas that are likely to receive urban <br /> <br />VI-4 <br />