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<br />he Dolores River is tributary to the Colo-
<br />ra River, joining that stream in eastern Utah
<br />ab ut 100 airline miles northwesterly of
<br />Do ores, The West Dolores River joins the
<br />Do ores River from the north about 15 miles
<br />up ream from Dolores, Both streams rise in the
<br />Sa Juan Range, which reaches elevations
<br />ar nd 14,000 feet. Much of the higher
<br />dr nage area is timbered with pine, fir, and
<br />spr ce while low brush dominates in the lower
<br />ele ations around Dolores, Lost Canyon Creek,
<br />wh ch joins the Dolores River from the south at
<br />Do ores, rises at elevations of around 10,000 feet
<br />on he western slopes of the La Plata Mountains,
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<br />N lURE OF FLOOD PROBLEMS
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<br />eneral frontal type rainstorms approaching
<br />fr the southwest can occu r over the Dolores
<br />Ri r Basin from mid-June through December,
<br />bu records show that they occur most often
<br />du ing September and October, Convective
<br />ty cloudburst storms occur frequently in
<br />so thwestern Colorado in the summer. Much
<br />of he annual precipitation in this region occurs
<br />as now and a deep snowpack usually accumu-
<br />lat s in the high elevations, Consequently,
<br />sn wmelt runoff in spring and early summer
<br />co stitutes a frequent but comparatively mod-
<br />er e flood threat because high peak flows are
<br />no characteristic of snowmelt runoff, Cloud-
<br />bu st storms I'roduce high intensity rainfall but,
<br />du to the small areal extent of this type of
<br />st m, their short duration, and small volume of
<br />ru off, constitute a significant flood threat only
<br />the smaller drainage basins, Cloudburst
<br />ms constitute the most severe flood threat
<br />g Lost Canyon Creek, In general, however,
<br />tal type rainstorms constitute the most
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<br />
<br />F lURE FLOODS
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<br />Although floods with magn itudes and fre-
<br />q ncies similar to those of floods that have
<br />o urred in the past could recur in the future,
<br />di ussion of future floods in this report is
<br />Ii ited primarily to one designated as the 100- .
<br />ye r flood, A lOa-year flood has a peak flow
<br />m gnitude with a 1 percent chance of being
<br />e ailed or exceeded in any given year, and a
<br />fr uency of occurrence of about once in 100
<br />ye rs on the long-term average, It must be
<br />u erstood that the term "lOa-year flood"
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<br />Characteristically, terrain in the Lost Canyon
<br />Creek drainage area is undulating with stands of
<br />pine and fir above 9000 feet and sagebrush,
<br />pinon pine, and juniper over most of the
<br />tributary drainage,
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<br />In total, the Dolores River drains about 570
<br />square miles upstream from Dolores, This part
<br />of the drainage basin is situated in southwestern
<br />Colorado, Elevations range from about 6900 feet
<br />at Dolores to over 14,000 feet in the high
<br />headwater regions, Stream gradients upstream
<br />from Dolores average about 30 feet per mile on
<br />the Dolores and West Dolores Rivers and 110
<br />feet per mile on Lost Canyon Creek,
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<br />serious flood hazard in the study area, The
<br />largest flood of record, which occurred in
<br />October 1911, resulted from this type of storm
<br />on the drainage areas of the Dolores and West
<br />Dolores Rivers, Much of the town of Dolores
<br />was flooded at that time, Heavy rain caused
<br />flooding along Lost Canyon Creek in October
<br />1941, In May 1973, snowmelt runoff damaged
<br />areas along the Dolores River reach studied for
<br />this report and threatened other riverine areas,
<br />A bridge was washed out on Lost Canyon
<br />Creek, Large snowmelt flows also occurred on
<br />the Dolores River in May 1941 and June 1949,
<br />The largest recent flood on the Dolores River
<br />occurred in September 1970, but information
<br />other than magnitude of flow for that flood is
<br />not available, Flood losses in the study area
<br />usually consist of damage to bridges and
<br />irrigation structures, In a number of flood years,
<br />flood fighting was required to protect residen-
<br />tial and commercial areas from rising water.
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<br />relates to flood magnitude and does not mean
<br />that the flood will occur one time in a lOa-year
<br />period, Essentially, "probability of occurrence"
<br />is implied, Thus, during the term of an average
<br />mortgage (30 years), the chance of a lOa-year
<br />flood occurring is approximately 1 in 4; during
<br />an average lifetime (70 years), the chance is
<br />approximately 1 in 2, In a lOa-year period, the
<br />chance of a lOa-year flood is approximately 3 in
<br />5,
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