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<br />flood probabilities up to about 1 percent. This is because available flood <br /> <br /> <br />records are usually for a short time period and further ~xtrapolations to <br /> <br /> <br />define floods with smaller probabilities are unreliable. Consequently, a <br /> <br /> <br />hydrometeorologic approach is generally employed to define an inflow design <br /> <br /> <br />hydrograph having a rare probability of exceedance and representing a reason- <br /> <br /> <br />able upper limit to expected flooding. <br /> <br />Inflow design hydrographs representing floods of specific or designated <br />frequency, can be developed from peak and volume frequency curves represent- <br />ing specified durations. When streamflow data are available at or near the <br />site, flood peak frequency curves are developed using statistical procedures <br />as outlined in the most recent edition of Hydrology Subcommittee, Interagency <br />Advisory Committee on Water Data Bulletin "Guidelines for Determining Flood <br />Flow Frequency.. When streamflow records are not avail ab le at or near the <br />site, peak discharge and volume frequency curves should be developed from <br />regional studies of stream gaging records for streams in the region. <br /> <br />In some cases, streamflow data may not be available for streams similar to the <br /> <br /> <br />one being evaluated. Consequently, it may be necessary to develop hydrographs <br /> <br /> <br />for specifiC frequencies using rainfall-frequency and rainfall-runoff relation- <br /> <br /> <br />Ships. Methods described in the previous paragraphs are more reliable and <br /> <br /> <br />should be used whenever adequate streamflow data are available. <br /> <br />An inflow design hydrograph developed to define the reasonable upper limit of <br /> <br />expected flooding is called the PMF (probable maximum flood). The PMF is <br /> <br /> <br />developed based upon the postulated occurrence of a storm producing PMP <br /> <br /> <br />(probable maximum precipitation), the maximum depth of precipitation that is <br /> <br /> <br />considered possible over the watershed. The PM? values are presented in a <br /> <br />6 <br />