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<br />3.0 <br /> <br />HYDROLOGIC ANALYSIS <br /> <br />Yampa River <br />Upstream of Maybell: <br /> <br />for 50-year frequency: k= 3027, c= 0.221 <br />for 100-year frequency: k= 7798, c= 0.114 <br /> <br />3.1 <br /> <br />Existing Data <br /> <br />For locations where existing d~tailed hydrologic analyses were available, those analyses were used <br />to obtain peak 50-year and 100-year flows. For some other locations, statistical analyses of <br />stream gages provided 1;ly the USGS were used to compute the 50-year and 100-year flows. <br /> <br />Yampa River <br />Downstream of Maybell: <br /> <br />for 50-year frequency: k= 17.21, c= 0.855 <br />for 100-year frequency: k= 11.38, c= 0.915 <br /> <br />Published floodplain studies prepared by FEMA for Craig, Colorado provided 50-year and 100- <br />year flows at the upstream limit of this study, above the confluence with Fortification Creek. <br />They also provided flows below that confluence, a short distance downstream. The USGS <br />performed frequency analyses on gage locations at Maybell, near the middle of the study reach, <br />and at Deerlodge Park, at the downstream study limit. In addition, USGS analyses were available <br />for two gages on tributary streams. <br /> <br />3.3 Eauation Selection Process <br /> <br />The CurveFit computer program analyzes the input data using a library of 25 equations. The <br />output displays the constants and the correlation values for each equation. The best fit equations <br />are chosen based on the correlation value closest to 1.0. For this report an additional step was <br />included in the selection of an equation. Of all the possible equations which fell within a <br />correlation value greater than 0.95, the least complex equation was chosen. The same equation <br />format was selected for both the 50-year and 100-year flow calculations. <br /> <br />3.2 New Hvdrologic Information <br /> <br />Hydrologic analyses of the 50-year and 100-year flood flows for the remainder of the hydrologic <br />points along the study reaches of the Yampa River were accomplished by interpolation of the <br />known flow values. The known values and corresponding drainage areas were entered into a <br />curve fitting computer program that selects equations which provide a close description of the <br />plotted curve. The curve fitting program computed the flows at the other hydrologic points on <br />the Yampa River locations by using the drainage areas at each location for which flows needed <br />to be calculated. <br /> <br />3.4 Hvdrologic Findings <br /> <br />Table 3 shows the results of this analysis in tabular form. Figure 5 shows the relationship <br />between 50-year or 100-year flow and drainage area, as described by these equations, in graphical <br />form. <br /> <br />The graphical interpretation of the computed flow values on theYampa River indicated a distinct <br />change in hydrology near the Maybell gage, at the mid-point of the study reach (see Figure 5). <br />For this reason, two separate sets of equation coefficients were obtained to define thc hydrology <br />upstream and downstream of the Maybell gage. The form of the equations for the Yampa River <br />below Craig is: <br /> <br />Q=k*AC <br /> <br />where: <br /> <br />Q = 50-year or 100-year flow; <br />A = drainage area; <br />k = a constant; and <br />c = an exponent <br /> <br />The form of the equation is the same for the entire study reach, but the coefficients are different <br />for the two portions. <br /> <br />10 <br /> <br />11 <br />