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<br />-13- <br /> <br />long-term rainfall records have not been kept in the Gore Creek <br />Valley. Consequently, it was necessary to use data from one or more <br />of the available stations for developing rainstorm data for the Gore <br /> <br />Creek Valley. Elevation and both orographic and geograph1corien- <br /> <br />tation of these gaging stations are very important since the elevation <br />and temperature limits the amount of moisture available to a thunder- <br /> <br />storm. The orographic character helps determine the potential uplift <br />and the geographic orientation determines the degree of protection <br />from moist air masses. The Dillon precipitation data was determined <br />to be the most nearly representative of the records available, con- <br /> <br />sidering the above-enumerated factors. <br /> <br />Analyses have been made of the Dillon rainfall data for storms <br />that could be identified as thunderstorms (Figure 1II-2). These <br />analyses show the one-percent probability, 24-hour precipitation to <br />be 1.85 inches and the ten-percent, 24-hour value to be 1.07 inches. <br />A portion of this precipitation usually falls as hail pellets or <br />g~aupcl, c~pccial1y at elevations above 11,000 fppt.1,2 <br /> <br />Examination of sixteen precipitation records taken from the Gore <br />Creek and Eagle River Valley stations for summer and fall months indi- <br />cates that 68% of the daily or 24-hour precipitation would occur <br />during a thunderstorm. The remaining 32% of the rain typically falls <br />in light showers after the cell dissipates and later in the day. <br />Comparisons of the 68% value and the Weather Bureau time distribution <br />in TP_4021 of 80%-90% resulted in using a compromise value of ~1%. <br />Study of the records also indicates the areal distribution of the <br /> <br />..,." <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />, <br />, <br />.i <br /> <br />., <br /> <br />~! <br />'" <br /> <br />, <br /> <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />-14- <br /> <br />typical thunderstorm in and around the Gore Creek Valley is limited <br />to approximately ten square miles.l Using this data, the 10 and 100 <br /> <br />year thunderstorm rainfall values are: <br /> TlMEFROM 10 YEAR 100 YEAR <br /> 8EG. OF STORM THUNOERSTORM THUNDERSTORM <br /> (cum. ins.) (cum. ins.) <br /> 15 min. .41 .72 <br /> 30 min. .61 1.07 <br /> 45 min. .76 1.32 <br /> 60 min. .87 1.50 <br /> 24 hrs. 1.07 l.8S <br /> <br />The infrequent general rainstorm, which occurs primarily in <br />September and lasts several hours to over 48 hours in some ~ases. <br /> <br />has also been developed from Di110n rainfall records. This general <br /> <br />storm may cover a 1,000 square mile or larger area. The one-percent <br />probability, 24-hour rainfall from a general storm is 1.89 inches <br />and the corresponding 48-hour value is 2.17 inches. Once again, the <br />cool autumn temperatures will cause muCh of this precipitat\on to fall <br /> <br />as snow or hail at the higher elevations. The adopted distribution <br />of the general type stonnisas follows: <br /> <br />HOURS FROM <br />BEG.. OF STORM <br /> <br />100 YEAR GENERAL <br />STORM PRECIPITATION <br />(cum. ins.) <br /> <br />10 YEAR GENERAL <br />STORM PRECIPITATION <br />(cum. ins.) <br /> <br />1 <br />2 <br />3 <br />4 <br />5 <br />5 <br />8 <br />10 <br />11 <br />24 <br />" <br /> <br />.21 <br />.28 <br />.33 <br />,37 <br />.40 <br />,44 <br />.51 <br />.59 <br />.67 <br />.91 <br />1.05 <br /> <br />.44 <br />.58 <br />.58 <br />,76 <br />," <br />,go <br />1.05 <br />1.22 <br />1.38 <br />1.89 <br />2.17 <br />