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<br />I <br />Ie <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />. <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I' <br />I <br /> <br />I - II <br /> <br />discharges in the main channel are reduced, sediments from the tributary that <br />previously were eroded will no longer be carried away and serious aggradation with <br />accompanying flood problems may arise. <br />An insight into the direction of change, the magnitude of change, and the time <br />involved to reach a new equilibrium can be gained by studying the river in a natural <br />condition; having knowledge of the sediment and water discharge; being able to <br />predict the effects and magnitude of man's future activities; and applying to these a <br />knowledge of geology, soils, hydrology, and hydraulics of alluvial rivers. <br />The current interest in ecology and the environment have made people aware of <br />the many problems that mankind can cause. Previous to the present interest. in <br />environmental impact, very few people interested in rivers ever considered the <br />long-term changes that were possible. It is imperative that anyone working with <br />rivers, either with localized areas or entire systems, have an understanding of the <br />many factors involved, and of the potential for change existing in the river system. <br />Two methods of predictinq response are employed. They are the physical and <br />the mathematical models. Engineers have long used small scale hydraulic models to <br />assist them in anticipating the effect of altering conditions in a reach of a river. <br />With proper awareness of the large scale effects that can exist, the results of <br />hydraulic model testing can be extremely useful for this purpose. A more recent <br />and alternative method of predicting short-term and long-term changes in rivers <br />involves the use of mathematical models. To study a transient phenomenon in <br />natural alluvial channels, the equations of motion and continuity for sediment laden <br />water and the continuity equation for sediment can be used as discussed in Chapters <br />III and IV. <br />