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<br />4.5.1 ExistinK Conditions <br /> <br />Anticipated trends in deposition within the project subreach for <br />"existing" conditions (i.e., no modifications to the river channel shape, <br />alignment, roughness or hydrologic/sedimentary regime within the 100-year <br />study period) are shown in Figures 4.11 and 4.12. Note, the predicted <br />aggradation at the La Junta gage site (river mile 1198.1) is about 5.5 feet. <br />This compares favorably with the observed aggradation (inferred from the <br />rating curve shift, Figure 4.10) of approximately two feet over a 3l-year <br />period. The average computed bed change in the project subreach was +3.4 feet <br />after 100 years of flow (deposition). <br /> <br />4.5.2 Proiect Conditions <br /> <br />Results of the simulations for the various project conditions (refer to <br />Table 4.2) are shown in Figures 4.13 to 4.16 (profiles) and Figures 4.17 to <br />4.20 (bed elevation changes at the gage section). The average bed elevation <br />changes within the project subreach are show in Table 4.4. <br /> <br />4.5.3 Ft. Lyon Canal Analysis <br /> <br />During the course of this investigation, the role of the operation of the <br />Ft. Lyon Canal, particularly the sand sluicing operation, became of interest <br />to the District. Note that the sediment concentration in the diverted water <br />was assumed to be 75~ that of the ambient river water concentration (refer to <br />Section 4.2.4); this, presumably, accounts for the sand sluicing operation. <br />An attempt was made to evaluate the sensitivity of the calculated bed changes <br />in the Arkansas River in the vicinity of La Junta to operation of the Ft. Lyon <br />Canal by perfot'ming the following simulations: <br /> <br />1) A simulation similar to the "existing condition" simulation with the <br />concentration of sediment in the Ft. Lyon diversion equal to the ambient <br />concentration of sediment in the river. This reflects the situation of zero <br />sand sluicing. The results of this simulation are shown on Figures 4.21 and <br />4.22. This condition is shown on Table 4.4 as "FLlOO". <br /> <br />Table 4.4 <br />Average Predicted Bed Elevation Changes <br />Within the Project Subreach After 100 Years <br /> <br />Project <br />Configuration <br /> <br />Average Bed <br />Elevation Change <br />(ft) <br /> <br />1 <br />2 <br />3 <br />4 <br />"Existing" <br />FLlOO'" <br />NOFL'" <br /> <br />+2.2 <br />+2.4 <br />+2.0 <br />+2.1 <br />+3.4 <br />+3.2 <br />+3.8 <br /> <br />'" See Section 4.5.3 <br /> <br />29 <br />