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<br />SECTIONFOUR
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<br />FUTURE ROODS
<br />
<br />Flooding can occur with relatively little discharge in the event of channel blockage caused by debris
<br />or ice. In these situations, water surface elevations rise until relief is achieved by flows over the
<br />floodplain. Historical data, however, indicate that obstructions due to ice are not likely to occur in
<br />the study reach.
<br />
<br />4.3 HAZARDS OF LARGE FLOODS
<br />
<br />The extent of damage caused by any flood depends on the topography of the area flooded, the depth
<br />and duration of flooding, the velocity of flow, the rate of rise, the extent of development on the
<br />floodplain, the amount of debris in the floodwater, and ice conditions. A 1 %-probability (100-year
<br />frequency) flood on Cherry Creek in the study reach would result in the inundation of and
<br />subsequent damage to primarily agricultural properties and associated developments as well as
<br />public utilities and public roadways. A 0.2% probability (5oo-year frequency) flood, however,
<br />would flood numerous residential and commercial buildings along both sides of the Corridor.
<br />Significant residential flooding would occur at Cottonwood subdivision and Stroh Ranch
<br />subdivision. Deep floodwater flowing at high velocity and carrying floating debris would create
<br />conditions hazardous to persons and vehicles attempting to cross flooded areas. ,In general,
<br />floodwater 3 or more feet deep and flowing at a velocity of 3 or more feet per second could easily
<br />sweep an adult person off their feet, thus creating definite danger of injury or drowning. Rapidly
<br />rising and swiftly flowing floodwater may trap persons in homes that are ultimately destroyed or in
<br />vehicles that are ultimately submerged or floated. Isolation of areas by floodwaters could create
<br />hazards in terms of medical, fire, or law enforcement emergencies.
<br />
<br />4.3.1 Flooded Areas and Flood Damages.
<br />Table 5 provides a summary of the flood characteristics from the HEC-RAS hydraulic evaluations
<br />that were undertaken. The flood elevations at 219 reference cross sections for the 10-, 50-, 100-, and
<br />5oo-year floods are presented in the table.
<br />
<br />The Flood Hazard Area Delineation Profiles (FHAD Profiles), Sheet 1 through 18, show the water
<br />surface elevations and water depths of the lO-year, 50-year, loo-year, and 500-year floods, relative
<br />to the streambed. The water surface elevations of the 100-year and 5oo-year floods were used to
<br />detennine flood limits on the cross-sections and topographic maps. The GIS-based computer
<br />program HEC-GEORAS was used to delineate the floodplain on the digital topographic maps. The '
<br />results are shown on the Flood Hazard Area Delineation Plan (plan), Sheet 1 through 16. An index
<br />to the Flood Hazard Area Delineation Plans (FHAD Plans) is provided on Plate 2. Representative
<br />cross sections, including those immediately upstream and downstream of modeled bridges, are
<br />illustrated on Cross Section Profiles, Sheet 1 through 8. The cross sections show ground elevations
<br />across the valley on both sides of the channel and the depths of overbank flooding. Reference
<br />stream stations, coinciding with the locations of the cross sections, are shown on both the Plans and
<br />the Profiles. Table 6 provides floodplain and floodway data at model cross sections, including
<br />distance along the main channel centerline, elevations of the streambed, and elevations of the 10%,
<br />2%, 1 %, and 0.2% probability (lO-year, 50-year, loo-year, and 5oo-year, respectively) floods.
<br />
<br />The FHAD Plans show the area that would be inundated by the 1% probability (lOO-year) flood
<br />event. The flood limits were located at each cross section and the intervening flood inundation
<br />limits were drawn based upon detailed digital topographic mapping with fine tuning from
<br />engineering judgment and field observation. It is, however, possible that more or less flooding could
<br />
<br />be shown on the Flooded Areas given the uncertainty in selection of stream friction coefficient, which normally
<br />varies seasonally. For a specific situation, where more detailed accuracy of flooded area is required, the flood
<br />limits can be more accurately established by detennining the water surface elevation from the profile or reference
<br />tables and then locating that elevation by a more detailed survey of the floodplain.
<br />
<br />A reference line is shown on the Flood Hazard Delineation Plans for Cherry Creek. This line is in general
<br />alignment with the current thalweg of the creek. Due to the alluvial nature of Cherry Creek, this thalweg is likely to
<br />change over time.
<br />
<br />The flood elevations shown on the profile and in Table 5 apply laterally from the channel over most of the
<br />floodplain width. Road crossings and other topographic features can alter the lateral flood elevations. Depending
<br />on whether these features divert or block flows, the flood elevation at the edge of the floodplain may be higher or
<br />lower than at the channel.
<br />
<br />Floodplain widths vary from one location to another throughout the study reach. The loo-year floodplain width
<br />varies from a minimum near 520 feet to a maximum near 4,100 feet with an average of 1,500 feet. Floodplain
<br />widths generally increase gradually from Scott Road to Cherry Creek Reservoir.
<br />
<br />The major portion of the Cherry Creek loo-year floodplain in the study reach is in agricultural use. Few buildings
<br />of any type exist on this floodplain.
<br />
<br />According to the results of the hydraulic modeling, several existing developments and structures were identified to
<br />encroach on the existing 1000year floodplain, including:
<br />
<br />. The Town of Parker Fire Safety Training Center,
<br />. Arapahoe Road,
<br />. North Water Reclamation Facility
<br />. Scott Road
<br />. Cherry Creek Country Club
<br />
<br />^':
<br />
<br />The Town of Parker Fire Safety Training Center was located at a relatively low elevation by Cherry Creek. Under
<br />the loo-year flow condition, the building would be under a depth of five to six feet of water. The administration
<br />building at the Fire Safety Training Center would likely experience shallow flooding under the loo-year flow
<br />condition.
<br />
<br />Under the I % probability (100-year) flood, the Arapahoe Road would be under significant flooding with over 5 feet
<br />of water at its lowest elevation. The total length of the road being flooded reaches 2700 ft.
<br />
<br />The current modeling study indicates that the 100-year flood elevation at the North Water Reclamation Facility
<br />immediately downstream of E-470 reaches the top of the berm that separates the site from Cherry Creek flooding.
<br />With no freeboard, the site could be flooded in windy conditions or if the conveyance of the stream is reduced by
<br />accumulation of debris. Failure of the berm, which does not meet FEMA levee standards, could also lead to
<br />significant flooding of the site.
<br />
<br />Under the 1% probability (loo-year) flood, the Scott Road Bridge would be overtopped slightly (< 0.5 ft) and the
<br />road would be overtopped significantly with over 4-feet of water at the lowest spot.
<br />
<br />Cherry Creek Country Club is located on the right floodplain of Cherry Creek just downstream of Arapahoe Road.
<br />Several residential houses, mostly along East Caley A venue, are affected by the 1% probability (100-year) flood.
<br />Flooding of these structures, however, is likely to be limited because the flood depth is less than 1 foot.
<br />
<br />4-2
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