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Last modified
1/25/2010 7:07:45 PM
Creation date
10/5/2006 1:58:34 AM
Metadata
Fields
Template:
Floodplain Documents
County
Statewide
Community
State of Colorado
Stream Name
Colorado River/Great Basin
Basin
Colorado Mainstem
Title
Probable Maximum Precipitation Estimates, Colorado River and Great Basin Drainages
Date
1/1/1984
Prepared By
COE
Floodplain - Doc Type
Educational/Technical/Reference Information
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<br />21 <br /> <br />Seasonal values of convergence PMP were read for mid-points of the five <br />least-orographic subregions from these preliminary maps and compared to the <br />l-day, 3-day, and moisture curves shown in figures 2.4a to 2.4e. Smoothing <br />and adjusting of the set of preliminary maps resulted in a consistent series <br />of seasonal curves and maps. <br /> <br />The finalized set of 1000~b (lOO-kPa) lD-mi2 (26-km2) 24-hr convergence <br />PMP maps is presented in figures 2.5 to 2.16. Whereas, the initial maps began <br />as extensions of the isohyets in HMR No. 43, the final maps after smoothing <br />no longer maintain the direct association. For some individual months differ- <br />ences in magnitude of up to 1 inch exist at some border locations. The <br />greatest differences in pattern between these two studies occur in April and <br />November, both considered transition months in terms of synoptic storm <br />influences. <br /> <br />Final mid-month convergence PMP values were read from figures 2.5 to 2.16 <br />for the least-orographic regions and seasonal curves for these points plotted <br />in terms of percent of the greatest of the 12 values in figures 2.4a to 2.4e <br />(heavy solid lines) for comparison with the data. In figure 2.4a, convergence <br />PMP preserves the summer maximum and broadens the peak, as intended, to <br />include the summer prototype storm over the longer period. A similar remark <br />can be made about the convergence PMP curve in figure 2.4b. <br /> <br />In western Utah, figure 2.4c, the convergence PMP curve peaks in September. <br />This is a month later than the eye-smoothed l-day rainfall curve and the <br />curve from HMR No. 43. The PMP maximum in September results from extension <br />beyond the data to consider the influence of late summer tropical cyclones. <br /> <br />The peak in convergence PMP in figure 2.4d (Southern Nevad~is noticeably <br />later than the moisture curve and somewhat later than the l-day data, being <br />broadly centered about the 3-day maximum in September. <br /> <br />In figure 2.4e (northwest Nevada), the convergence PMP curve has a small <br />amplitude with a broad maximum centered on October. The October maximum is <br />in agreement with the fall prototype storm with westerly inflow in northern <br />California. <br /> <br />The resulting 1000-mb (lOO-kPa) convergence PMP maps of figures 2.5 to 2.16 <br />describe a set that is generally consistent with considerations listed at the <br />beginning of this section. With the exception of western Utah and northwest <br />Nevada the patterns show prominent summer maxima similar to maximum moisture, <br />but tend to show much less variation from summer to winter than do the <br />moisture curves in all five regions. The seasonal variation of the conver- <br />gence PMP should be less than the variation of moisture alone since the greater <br />efficiency of storms in the cooler season compensates to some extent for less <br />available moisture. <br />
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