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<br />19 <br /> <br />Through most of the Southwest, the decadent tropical cyclone is considered <br />the PMP prototype for the period from the end of June to mid-october. <br />Examples of record are the storms of September 1939, August 1951, and <br />September 1970. In the southern portion of the region during the cool season, <br />fronts and storm centers from the Pacific Ocean produce major rains. Slow- <br />moving to stagnant frontal situations, as in December 1955 and January 1916, <br />are examples. <br /> <br />The summer tropical cyclone is not likely to penetrate into the northwest <br />or extreme northeast corners of the study area. For all-season PMP in the <br />northwest portion, storms with more westerly moisture flows can enter the <br />region around the north end of the Sierra Nevada range. This has led to the <br />conclusion that northwest Nevada would have a seasonal influence more closely <br />allied to northern California, where the October 1962 storm produced extreme <br />rains. <br /> <br />The northeast corner, particularly north of the Uinta Mountains and east of <br />the Wasatch Mountains, can be influenced by moisture flows from the east that <br />have spilled around the northern end of the Rocky Mountains in Colorado. Al- <br />though no prototype storm for this northeast corner has yet been observed, <br />the June 1964 storm that struck the Montana Rockies is an example of the type <br />of storm that could affect this portion of the Southwest. Thus, seasonally, <br />the northeast corner is similar to the eastern boundary region in HMR No. 43. <br /> <br />Exact boundaries for the zone of influence of each type of storm have not <br />been delineated. Rather, their influence has been incorporated in part by <br />adjustments in the barrier elevation chart (see section 2.3) to account for <br />the expected flows, and in part by the seasonal variations built into the <br />convergence PMP analyses through tie-ins to peripheral studies. To understand <br />the result and effectiveness of these methods, see the discussion in chapter <br />5 on checks on PMP level.. <br /> <br />2.2.6 Development of 10_mi2 (26-km2) 24-hr Convergence PMP <br /> <br />In the development of seasonal maps of convergence PMP a number of consider- <br />ations were used as guidance. Not necessarily in the order of importance, <br />These were to: <br /> <br />a. Envelop all maximized values of observed rainfall in least-orographic <br />areas without explicit transposition. <br /> <br />b. Recognize trends in seasonal variations established by data from <br />least-orographic stations. <br /> <br />c. Recognize the potential summertime maximum precipitation represented <br />by the seasonal variation of maximum precipitable water. <br /> <br />d. Fit a pattern that is in accord with tracks of extreme rain-producing <br />storms. <br /> <br />e. Observe regional variations caused by influences of different prototype <br />storms. <br /> <br />_c,_, <br />---~-- <br />