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<br />PROBABLE MAXIMUM PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES, COLORADO RIVER <br />AND GREAT BASIN DRAINAGES <br /> <br />E. Marshall Hansen, Francis K. Schwarz, and John T. Riedel <br />Hydrometeorological Branch <br />Office of Hydrology <br />NOAA, National Weather Service, Silver Spring, Md. <br /> <br />ABSTRACT. This study gives general-storm probable maximum <br />precipitation (PMP) estimates for durations between 6 and <br />72 hours and for area sizes between 10 and 5,000 mi2 (26 <br />and 12,950 km2), for any location in the Colorado River and <br />Great Basin drainages. Total PMP is determined as the <br />sum of convergence and orographic PMP components. Esti- <br />mates are given for each month. <br /> <br />The study also provides estimates for local-storm PMP. <br />In addition to the above drainages these estimates are <br />provided for all of California. The estimates cover <br />durations between 15 minutes and 6 hours and drainage <br />areas between 1 and 500 mi2 (2.6 and 1,295 km2). Local- <br />storm PMP is applicable to the warm season between May <br />and October. <br /> <br />Comparisons are given between PMP estimates and the <br />greatest observed rainfalls of record, 100-yr fre- <br />quency rainfall and statistically derived PMP. A step- <br />by-step outline of the procedure for computing PMP <br />estimates is presented with examples for both the <br />general and local storm. <br /> <br />1. INTRODUCTION <br /> <br />1.1 Purpose of Report <br /> <br />The purpose of this report is to present the material necessary to compute <br />estimates of probable maximum precipitation for any watershed up to 5,000 mi2 <br />(12,950 km2) for durations up to 72 hours in the Colorado River or Great <br />Basin drainages. The material for preparing an estimate makes up only a <br />small portion of this text; the bulk of the report consists of data and <br />studies required to develop the criteria. The local-storm criteria <br />presented in this report also cover the Pacific Ocean drainage of California. <br />