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<br />r 76-1(35) PE <br /> <br /> TABLE I <br /> YEARS OF DRAINAGE AREA-SQ. MI. <br />GAGE NO. STREAM/LOCATION RECORD TOTAL BELOW 7500 FT. <br />6-71 05 Bear Creek at Morrison 62 164 30 <br />6-7110 Turkey Creek near Morrison 11 50 16 <br />6-7220 North St. Vrain at Longmont 28 106 14 <br />6-7295 South Boulder Creek near <br />[to 1955) El dorado Spri ngs 6D 109 13 <br />6-7330 Big Thompson at Estes Park 25 137 19 <br />6-7420 Little Thompson near Berthoud 16 101 46 <br /> <br />Figure No. 4 is a plot of drainage area versus Q1DO for these gages. <br />Both the total drainage area and the drainage area below elevation <br />7500 feet are plotted. The 7500 foot criteria has been established <br />by McCain2 to delineate snow melt from rainfall peak flows. <br /> <br />From Figure .No. 4 it is apparent that a conservative discharge prediction <br />could be obtained by giving more weight to Gages 6-7105, 7195, and 7420. <br />Gage 6-7420 shows the highest results for drainage area below 7500 feet, <br />but this gage had only 16 years of record. It had a skew coefficient of <br />0.6384, which is Inuch higher than the regionalized coefficient of -0.15, <br />published in Bulletin No. 17.3 Therefore it is considered less reliable <br />than Gages 6-7105 and 7195. Using the regionalized skew coefficient, <br />Gage 6-7420 gave Q100 = 13,800 cfs, which is in line with Gages 6-7105 <br />and 7195. <br /> <br />Technical Manual No. 1.2 - The peak flow predictions using the regression <br />equat10n 1n th1S Manual at four selected points along Clear Creek are: <br /> <br />LOCATION <br /> <br />DRAINAGE AREA - SQ. MI. <br />TOTAL BELOW 7500 FT. <br /> <br />Q100* <br /> <br />11 ,300 cfs <br /> <br />19,300 <br /> <br />24,000 <br />26,400 <br /> <br /> <br />TABLE II <br /> <br />Golden (at Gage 6-7195) 399 23 <br />Above Ra 1 s ton Creek confluence 454 76 <br />Below Ralston Creek 543 122 <br />At Mouth (at Gage 6-7200) 575 153 <br /> <br />* These predictions based on drainage areas below 7500 ft. elevation. <br /> <br />2 J. F. McCain and R. D. Jarrett, "Manual for Estimatin9 Flood Characteristics <br />of Natural-Flow Streams in Colorado", Technical Manual No.1, Colorado <br />Water Conservation Board. (1976). 68 pp. -- - <br /> <br />3 United States 'Water Resources Council, "Guidelines for Determining Flood <br />Flow Frequency", Bulletin #17 of the Hydrology Committee. (March 1976) <br />p. 9-6. <br /> <br />6 <br />