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<br />I <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />HYDROLOGIC ANALYSIS <br /> <br />A. Flood Characteristics <br /> <br />Flooding along Dry Creek No.1 is most likely to Occur during the <br /> <br /> <br />May through August period. Major flooding will result from intense thunder- <br /> <br /> <br />storms which produce heavy rainfall over relatively small areas. A 100-year <br /> <br /> <br />flood is expected to rise to its peak. flow within 2 to 3 hours from the most <br /> <br /> <br />intense part of the storm and recede within 6 to 8 hours after the initial rise. <br /> <br />The hydrologic analysis required extensive hydraulic computations <br /> <br /> <br />to determine peak flows at locations where the flood water was divided. <br /> <br /> <br />Diversion of flows at road crossings, particularly at State Highway 119, <br /> <br /> <br />had a significant effect on theoretical peak flows downstream. The <br /> <br /> <br />methods used in the hydraulic analysis are explained in the following <br /> <br /> <br />chapter. <br /> <br />B. Method of Analysis <br /> <br />The hydrologic analysis established the 5-, 10-, 50-, 100-, and <br /> <br /> <br />SOD-year frequency flood discharges along the Dry Creek No.1 study reach. <br /> <br /> <br />These discharges were developed based on existing basin development con- <br /> <br /> <br />ditions. The projected flood discharges for the year 2000 were also <br /> <br /> <br />predicted for the stream reach downstream from S.H. 119. The future <br /> <br /> <br />discharges were based on anticipated densities of development at that <br /> <br /> <br />time. <br /> <br />Discharge - frequency relationships were developed using the Environ- <br /> <br /> <br />mental Protection Agency's "Storm Water Management Model," (SWMM) computer <br /> <br />2 <br />