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FLOOD05639
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Last modified
1/25/2010 6:49:47 PM
Creation date
10/5/2006 1:41:18 AM
Metadata
Fields
Template:
Floodplain Documents
County
Larimer
Community
Estes Park, Loveland
Stream Name
Big Thompson
Basin
South Platte
Title
What People Did During the Big Thompson Flood
Date
8/1/1977
Prepared For
UDFCD
Prepared By
Eve Gruntfest
Floodplain - Doc Type
Educational/Technical/Reference Information
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<br />15 <br /> <br />serve both as warni ng and as confi rmation of a warning (Mi 1 eti, 1974: 134). <br />The lack of environmental cues also may have lead to a less adaptive <br />action or to failure to adopt any action at all. Two people who received <br />official warning in the lower end of the canyon where it was not raining <br />were among the victims because they did not believe a flood was possible. <br />At the lower end of the canyon, as mentioned earl'ier, the first warning <br />message consisted of word of landslides and flood'ing. One waitress at <br />work at the time of the warning sa'id no one moved from the restaurant <br />until the second warni ng which stated that the darn at Estes hi~d broken. <br />No environmental cues would precede a dam break but prior to ii flood <br />there would have to be rain in the upper reaches of the basin. The <br />relative impact of environmental cues on the actions taken in the 8ig <br />Thompson flood could not be measured in any standard form and were ex- <br />cluded from the findings. <br />The warning cha racteri sti cs, SOUl'ce, mode, content and number <br />were not significant when initially cOlTelated to action or to survival <br />and hence were not included in subsequent analysis.. The reason for <br />their lack of significance may be due to the limited sample size, <br />especially the unavailability of data on tourists who received warnings. <br />An additional reason to disqualify the warning characteristics from the <br />analysis is that the data collected for non-surv'ivors concentrated on <br />determining actions taken and not upon warning characteristics. <br />However, the influence a warning had on choice of behavior and on <br />survival is analyzed in general terms. The variable "kind of warning" <br />was included in the discriminant analysis. This information was available <br />for most of the survivors and the non-survivors. In cases where it was <br />not known whether a warning was received 'it was assumed that environmental <br />
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