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<br /> <br />I <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />I <br />I <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />the ColDrado PrDnt Range. <br /> <br />It should be clear from this survey that a heavy thunderstDrm <br />rainfall threat exists at elevatiDns abDve 7,500 feet. Storm point <br />rainfall totals have routinely exceeded 2.00 inches and storm <br />intensities support hourly rainfall rate of 3-4 inches per hDur. <br />Given the results of the survey three foothills thunderstorm <br />rainfall profiles are constructed as potentially representative of <br />storm rainfall until a more rigorous study can be completed. The <br />next section of the survey addresses these storm profiles. <br /> <br />5.0 PrDpDsed Heavy ThunderstDrm Rainfall Profiles <br /> <br />The thunderstorm rainfall survey discussed in the previous <br />sections was used tD prepare a ssmple family of heavy <br />thunderstDrms fDr the central CDlorsdo Pront Range. The primary <br />inputs to the storm family were the average survey storm <br />rainfsll characteristics described in SectiDn 4.0. <br /> <br />The 5 minute rainfsll for the storms has been calculated using <br />the HKA Excessive Convective Rainfall(ECR) model (Henz and <br />Kelly,1988) and the average heavy thunderstDrm rainfall <br />tempersture and mDisture structure repDrted in Henz snd Kelly, <br />1985. The similarity of the average structure to August 1, 1985 <br />actual Denver sounding is shDwn in Pigure 6. The average <br />precipitable surface tD 500mb water is 0.90 inches while the August <br />I, 1985 sDunding's is 0.92 inches. Indian Hills and a significant <br />pDrtion of the Jefferson County fODthills were afffected by a <br />severe foothills thunderstorm Dn this date and the Storm Data <br />report included 2.13"/25 minutes with 6-8 inches of hail. <br />Appendix A describes the stmDspheric variables presented in Table <br />2 . <br /> <br />The 5 minute and total rainfall were calculated for a family of <br />three foothills storms: <br /> <br />a. Storm A: A classic "front-end" dumper storm with heaviest <br />rainfall production in first 30 minutes and a <br />duratiDn of 90 minutes <br /> <br />b. Storm B: A multi-cell heavy stDrm which tracks two <br />thunderstorm cells in a train effect over the <br />basin in just less than a 2 hour period <br /> <br />c. Storm C: A classic S-curve storm with a duration Df 90 <br />minutes and heaviest rainfall during the middle Df <br />the storm's life-cycle <br />