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<br />MANUAL FOR ESTIMATING FLOOO CHARACTERISTICS <br /> <br />3 <br /> <br />DESCRIPTION OF METHODS <br /> <br />The three methods described below can be used for obtaining flood infor- <br />mation at sites on natural-flow streams in Colorado. <br /> <br />FLOOD INFORMATION AT GAGEO SITES <br /> <br />Flood information at gaged sites is listed in the tables at the back of <br />this report. Listed in the first line for each gaging station are the 10-, <br />50-, 100-, and 50D-year flood disch.rges and the 100-year flood depth based on <br />the period of observed record. Gaging station locations are given as latitude <br />and longitude in degrees, minutes, .nd seconds under each gaging station name. <br /> <br />Because of the possibil ity of the observed period of record falling with- <br />in a high or low climatic cycle, the data may not represent the best estimate <br />for future periods of time. This possibility of error, called time-sampl ing <br />error, is usually small for long periods of record but may be extremely large <br />for short periods. A procedure described by Sauer (1974) reduces the effects <br />of time-sampling errors by providing a weighted average of discharge from the <br />station value and the regression value which is discussed on pages 5 and 6. <br />The weighted average is computed from the equation <br /> <br />QT(W)= <br /> <br />(QT(S)XN) <br />N <br /> <br />+ J.'::T(R)~ <br />+ E <br /> <br />where <br /> <br />the weighted discharge for recurrence interval T, <br /> <br />QT(W)= <br /> <br />QT(S)= <br /> <br />QT(R)= <br />N <br /> <br />the station value of the flood for recurrence Interval T, <br /> <br />the regression value of the flood for recurrence interval T, <br /> <br />E <br /> <br />the number of years of stat i on data used to compute QT(S) , and <br /> <br />= the equivalent years of record for QT(R). A value of 10 years as <br />recommended by the U.S. Water Resources Counci I (1975) should be used <br /> <br />in the weighting procedure for all 9aged sites throughout Colorado. <br /> <br />A weighted average was computed for each recurrence interval flood at all <br />gaged sites and is I tsted below the station value in the tables, The weighted <br />averages are the best estimates of future flood discharges of specified fre- <br />quencies at gaged sites. <br />