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<br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br /> <br />catchment dams. 1'he AEP procedure <br />assigns a risk probability of 10-7 to the <br />PMP Design Flood for small catchments <br />100 km2, but up to' 10-4 for the large <br />catchment dams, <br /> <br />The alternative upper limits of 10-6 and 10' <br />S respectively for High B and High C, to <br />apply whichever is less, will generally <br />,relate to the small catchments, whereas the <br />PMP Design Flood will generally relate to <br />the larger catchments. <br /> <br />The proposed hazard category table for the <br />Guidelines on Assessment of the <br />Consequences of Dam Failure is shown <br />below. Reference should be made to those <br />guidelines for the full explanation. <br /> <br />AZ.7.3. Base Safety Condition. <br /> <br />With hydrologic loading, there may be <br />cases, such as small capacity reservoirs <br />with a large volume inflow f100ll, where a <br />flood capacity stage is reached such that <br />the dam break incremental effects are <br />insignificant or acceptable. Some <br />authorities consider that if the incremental <br />effect downstream is less than 300 mm it <br />is acceptable. ' <br /> <br />This stage is generally called the Base <br />Safety Condition (BSC), USBR (1989, P <br />1-5), Hawk (1991). The BSC may indicate <br />an AFC lesser than the fallback or from a <br />, <br />risk study, can be accepted on the basis <br />that a larger flood capacity would give no <br />safety or economic benefit. <br /> <br />HAZARD CATEGORIES <br />Reference ANCOLD Guidelines on Assessment ofthe Consequences of Dam <br />Failure. <br /> <br /> <br /> Severity of Damage an,~ Lon <br />Population <br />at <br />Risk Negligible Minor Medium M.-jnr <br />0 Very Low Very Low Low Significant <br />, <br /> , <br />Ito 10 Low Low Significant HighC <br /> Notes J and 4 Notes 4 and S NoteS Note 6 <br />lito 100 Significant HighC HighB <br /> Notes 2 and S Note 6 Note 6 <br /> Note I <br />101 to 1000 / HigbA High A <br /> Note 6 Notes 6 <br /> Note 2 <br />>1000 Note 3 Extreme <br /> Note 6 <br /> <br />With a PAR of 5 or more people, it is unlikely that the severity of damage and loss <br />will be "Negligible". <br />"Minor" damage and loss would be unlikely when the PAR exceeds 10. <br />"Medium" damage and loss would be unlikely when the PAR exceeds 1000. <br />Change to Significant where the potential for one life being lost is recognised. <br />Change to High where there is the potential for one or more lives being lost <br />Refer Guidelines on Assessment of the Consequences of Dam Failure Section 2,7 <br />and 1.6 for explanation of the range of High Hazard Categories <br /> <br />Note I: <br /> <br />Note 2: <br />Note 3 <br />Note 4: <br />Note 5 <br />Note 6 <br /> <br />ANCOLD Guidelines on Selection of an Acceptable flood Capacity for Dams A2-1 I <br />