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<br />1 <br /> <br /> <br />Executive Summary <br /> <br />Sacramento, California, has grown literally at the edge of the Sacramento <br />and American Rivers and for ISO years has struggled to protect itself from periodic <br />floods by employing structural and land management measures. Much of the <br />population lives behind levees, and most of the city's downtown business and <br />government area is vulnerable to flooding. <br />A major flood in 1986 served as impetus for efforts by federal, state, and <br />local entities to identifY an acceptable and feasible set of measures to increase <br />Sacramento's level of safety from American River floods. Numerous options were <br />identified in 1991 by the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers (USACE) in a report known <br />as the American River Watershed Investigation. Due to the controversial nature of <br />many of the alternatives identified in that report, study participants were not able to <br />reach consensus on any of the flood control options. In response, the Congress <br />directed the USACE to reevaluate available flood control options and, at the same <br />time, asked the USACE to engage the National Research Council (NRC) as an <br />independent advisor on these difficult studies. In 1995 NRC's Committee on Flood <br />Control Alternatives in the American River Basin issued Flood Risk Management <br />and the American River Basin: An Evaluation. This report outlined an approach for <br />improving the selection of a flood risk reduction strategy from the many available. <br />In March 1996, the USACE and its non-federal affiliates completed the <br />Congressionally directed reevaluations of flood control options and submitted <br />recommendations to Congress. In response, Congress authorized a component of the <br />recommended plan but not an adequate plan for the reduction of flood risk for the <br />Sacramento area. Thus, evaluations of alternatives continue. To add considerable <br />complication to the technically and politically difficult decision process, in January <br />1997 the American River experienced a major flood, nearly as large as and <br />hydrologically similar to the "flood of record" that occurred just II years before in <br />1986. <br />The occurrence of the 1997 flood suggests that it may be necessary to <br />recompute flood flow frequency relationships for the American River at Sacramento. <br />In February 1998, the USACE published a revised unregulated rain flood flow <br />frequency analysisI for the American River at Fair Oaks. The analysis produced a <br />flood frequency curve that indicates that large floods are appreciably more likely than <br /> <br />I Unregulated rain flood flow frequency analysis is conducted on annual peak flow data <br />that have been corrected for the effects of upstr= reservoir storage. Rain flood flow is due <br />primarily to rainfall rather than snowmelt. <br /> <br />- <br />