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<br />~ <br /> <br />could be greatly increased by higher yields. These can be real ized <br />through the use of supplemental irrigation water, which wi I I be made <br />avai lable by the Fryingpan-Arkansas Project and other improvements to <br />rei ieve water shortages on land now being irrigated, and from gains in <br />farm technology. Net farm income has been projected to increase at a <br />rate of 0.7 percent compounded annually from 1960 to 2060, or about <br />2.08 times the present net income. <br /> <br />63. Population and farm income changes are the most significant <br />factors which are expected to have other than minor effect on the <br />economy of the Las Animas area over the next century. An average of <br />the population and agricultural growth factors of 1.7, or 0.5 percent <br />compounded annually, is considered realistic for future growth in the <br />Las Animas area. <br /> <br />64. FLOOD HISTORY.- The primary flood threat to Las Animas and <br />vicinity is overflow from the Arkansas River. Portions of the area <br />are subject to flooding from very high flows on the Purgatoire River; <br />but the damages on an average annual basis are not significant. In <br />addition to urban development, valuable farmland surrounding Las Animas <br />is subject to flooding. The aggrading riverbed which characterizes the <br />Arkansas River from Pueblo to John Martin Dam has progressively reduced <br />the channel capacity at Las Animas to the point that overbank flow can <br />be expected at about 6,500 c.f.s. Flooding of the urban area begins <br />at a discharge of 10,000 c.f.s. <br /> <br />65. Historical accounts include references to several major floods <br />in the vicinity of Las Animas prior to the period of rei iable records. <br />The earliest known flood occurred in 1826, before permanent settlement <br />of the Arkansas River Val ley, and was reported to have inundated the <br />bottom lands near the present location of Las Animas to a depth of <br />15 feet. Another major flood occurred in June 1864. During May-June <br />1867, flooding was so extensive that Ft. Lyon was forced to relocate <br />17 mi les farther west. Large magnitude floods also were reported in <br />July 1886 and May 1894. <br /> <br />66. The largest flood for which rei iable data are avai lable <br />occurred during June 1921. According to U.S. Weather Bureau records, <br />the 48-hour rainfal lover the Arkansas River watershed between CaNon <br />City and Pueblo on June 3-4 was 3 to 5 inches. The peak discharge on <br />the Arkansas River at Pueblo was 103,000 c.f.s. which, as the flood <br />progressed downstream, increased to 200,000 c.f.s. at La Junta. There <br />was very I ittle tributary inflow below La Junta and val ley storage <br />reduced the peak to 187,000 c.f.s. by the time it reached Las Animas. <br />According to local residents, almost the entire city was flooded and <br />the water was 4 to 5 feet deep in some places. The Barrier Dam which <br />was bui It shortly after this flood would have reduced the peak dis- <br />charge from 187,000 c.f.s. to about 140,000 c.f.s. The authorized <br />Pueblo Dam would have reduced it to 108,000 c.f.s. <br /> <br />20 <br />