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<br />. ft3/slmi2 during 1984, which was a record snowmelt runoff year. Low unit runoff in Elkhead Creek Basin <br />primarily results from substantially lower snowpack accumulation than Buffalo Pass and mountain ranges <br />that substantially reduce the flow of moist air into northwestem Colorado, <br /> <br />Analysis of extreme rainfall data for Colorado that has been collected at five sites for nearly 100 years <br />and rainfall-bucket survey data indicates a distinct lack of intense rainfall amounts in northwestem <br />Colorado. Maximum 24-hr rainfall in northwestem Colorado is about 3.25 in., and there are no known f100d- <br />producing rainstorm having an areal extent of more than about 30 mi2. Interestingly, the maximum monthly <br />precipitation for northwestem Colorado is 8.15 in. recorded in September 1961 at Steamboat Springs. <br /> <br />Because of a belief that rainfall has produced large floods in northwestem Colorado, an analysis of the <br />two largest, historic rainstorm in the region were made. This belief has resulted in substantial increases in <br />flood magnitudes used in flood-plain management and design-flood hydrology including dam safety. A <br />2.57 in. rainstorm occurred on September 9-1 0, 1915 at Columbine at an elevation of 8,680 ft The <br />rainstorm covered about 10 mi2. At the Elk River at Clark streamflow gage, which is located about 10 mi <br />downstream from Columbine, there was no apparent rainfall runoff on September 9 or 10th, None of the <br />streams in the area have any evidence of out-of-bank flows, On June 14,1921, the largest daily rainfall <br />of 2.57 in. was recorded in Steamboat Springs (record collection began in the early 1900s), The rainstorm <br />occurred coincident with annual peak snowmelt runoff, which produced the flood of record of 6,820 ft3/s in <br />. the Yampa River at Steamboat Springs (period of record 1904 to present). Analysis of temperature, <br />rainfall, streamflow, and paleoflood data indicated thai the rainstorm primarily was limited to about 20 to 30 <br />mi2 in the Steamboat Springs area. Estimates of net peak flows resulting from rainfall runoff were made for <br />streamflow gages in operation in 1921 in northwestem Colorado. At the Yampa River at Steamboat <br />Springs, rainfall runoff was estimated to have contributed between 950 to 2,000 ft3/s (15 to 30 percent) to <br />the annual peak; other streams had 800 ft3/S to almost no rainfall runoff, If the rainfall runoff is subtracted <br />from the 1921 annual peak flow, peak flows in 1921 still would have been the third to fifth largest peak <br />flows for each gage in northwestem Colorado. The volume of the rainfall runoff was about the same for the <br />Yampa River at Steamboat Springs as the gage near Maybell, which supports the conclusion that the <br />1921 rainstorm was limited to the Steamboat Springs area, Out-of-bank flooding was limited to small <br />streams in Steamboat Springs and lowlands along the Yampa River, Analysis of rainfall-runoff <br />contributions for the Yampa River at Steamboat Springs from 1904 to present indicated that 1921 had the <br />largest rainfall-runoff contribution and only three other years had contributions more than 1,000 ft3/sI mi2, <br />The maximum paleoflood for the Yampa River at Steamboat Springs is about 10,000 ft3/S since glaciation. <br />Although rainfall can contribute to peak flows, the contribution is much smaller than has been used in past <br />flood studies, <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />Flood-frequency relations, which incorporated the paleoflood data, were developed for several gaged <br />and ungaged sites in northwestem Colorado and have an accuracy of about +/- 30 percent These <br />relations can be used for a risk-based analysis of hydrologic aspects of dam safety, The 1 OO-yr flood <br />estimate at Elkhead Creek Dam is about 3,000 ft3/s. Extrapolation of magnitude-frequency relations can be <br /> <br />33 <br />