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<br />PSOO-18 <br /> <br />Claire B, Rubin <br />Claire B. Rubin & Associates e <br />P.O. Box 2208 <br />Arlington, VA 22202 <br />(703) 920-7176 <br />cbrubin@mindspring.com <br /> <br />DISASTER TIME LINE (1965-2000) <br /> <br />A recently completed analysis and chart provides a useful historical perspective on the U.S. <br />emergency management system, The Disaster Time Line: Selected Milestone Events and U.S. <br />Outcomes (1965-2000), authored by Claire B, Rubin and Irmak Renda-Tanali, is a graphic <br />depiction of major disasters in the past 35 years, both natural and industrial, that have affected <br />emergency management policies. Major milestone events were analyzed and their outcomes <br />documented with respect to four categories of actions: a) major after-action anlllyses and reports, <br />b) legislation, c) executive actions, and d) major organizational changes. A systematic analysis <br />of major disasters considered defining events and their outcomes has important political and <br />policy implications for the US emergency management system, presently and in the future. <br /> <br />After completing the Disaster Time Line, we observed that the major after-action reports, <br />analyses, and recommendations resulting from one or more milestone events appear to contribute <br />significantly to the political pressure needed to drive changes in legislation, regulations, policies, ... <br />and programs which are made in an effort to better respond to future events of that type and size. .. <br />Most of the U.S. legislation policies and organizations were created in reaction to major defining <br />events and that after-actions reports and recommendations appear to play an important role in <br />identifYing and propelling changes. Two separate, major federal response plans have evolved for <br />dealing with natural and technological/industrial disasters in the U.S" the National Contingency <br />Plan and the Federal Response Plan. <br /> <br />As we enter the new century, the complexities of the existing systems, major response plans, and <br />organizational arrangements now in place for emergency management in the U.S. should be <br />reviewed and evaluated.. These steps will aid in making revisions, to the extent necessary, in <br />order to meet the new challenges and new threats expected. <br /> <br />The plenary session on Wednesday will address future issues and needs, Claire B. Rubin will <br />discuss the Disaster Time Line, in terms of process, outcome, and implications for the future of <br />emergency management at that session on Wednesday, <br /> <br />e <br /> <br />"^--'. <br />