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Last modified
1/25/2010 6:27:28 PM
Creation date
10/4/2006 11:48:58 PM
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Floodplain Documents
County
Statewide
Basin
Statewide
Title
Sensitivity of WSR-88D Rainfall Estimates to the Rain Rate Threshold and Rain Gauge Adjustment: A Flash Flood Case Study
Date
6/8/1998
Prepared By
NOAA
Floodplain - Doc Type
Educational/Technical/Reference Information
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<br />rain rate threshold on this day had the Z-R parameters been set at more appropriate values, and <br /> <br />one should not attempt in general to control PPS overestimation by decreasing the rain rate <br /> <br />threshold in the PPS adaptation data when such overestimation is widespread over the radar <br /> <br />umbrella as was the case here, <br /> <br />The PPS Adjustment algorithm was evaluated using the available gauge data to determine <br /> <br />if it could properly correct (i.e., reduce) the radar overestimates to bring them more in-line with <br /> <br />the gauge estimates as it is designed to do. The algorithm performed suboptimally, not due to <br /> <br />any deficiency in the Kalman filter formulation, but instead due to the particular methodology <br /> <br />employed in the algorithm when it forms the hourly gauge-radar pairs that are input to the filter. <br /> <br />The algorithm did not make large enough bias corrections to the radar estimates to fully account <br /> <br />for the observed biases because the gauge-radar pairs it generated as input were themselves <br /> <br />biased by this procedure. The algorithm computed bias estimates that moved the radar estimates <br /> <br />in the right direction (that is, decreasing them) as it should have, but it didn't move them far <br /> <br />enough to bring them into satisfactory agreement with the gauges. <br /> <br />An alternate and simpler methodology for forming the gauge-radar pairs by using the <br /> <br />radar bin directly over the gauge was tested and found to significantly improve the algorithm's <br /> <br />performance even though it did not totally remove all of the gauge-radar bias, The storm-total <br /> <br /> <br />radar overestimation was reduced from 63% to 25% by running the Adjustment algorithm with <br /> <br /> <br />input gauge-radar pairs in which the radar estimate collocated with the gauge was chosen. <br /> <br /> <br />The one-hour basin-average radar rainfall never reaches more than one-third of the one- <br /> <br />hour Flash Flood Guidance rainfall for the Buffalo Creek basin, yet a flash flood occurred. If the <br /> <br />computed gauge-radar bias estimates had been applied to the radar estimates, the basin average <br /> <br />25 <br />
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