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Last modified
1/25/2010 6:27:28 PM
Creation date
10/4/2006 11:48:58 PM
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Floodplain Documents
County
Statewide
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Statewide
Title
Sensitivity of WSR-88D Rainfall Estimates to the Rain Rate Threshold and Rain Gauge Adjustment: A Flash Flood Case Study
Date
6/8/1998
Prepared By
NOAA
Floodplain - Doc Type
Educational/Technical/Reference Information
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<br />dependency on the rain rate threshold as indicated in Table I, and indeed this is the case as <br /> <br /> <br />shown in Fig, 13, As the rain rate threshold increases from 49 (paner a) to 53 dBl (panel c), the <br /> <br /> <br />bias estimates decrease only slightly. They never approach the much smaller sample bias values <br /> <br /> <br />of 0.5-0.7 in Table I. The less-than-optimal method of fonning the gauge-radar pairs is causing <br /> <br />this insensitivity, not any deficiencies in the Adjustment algorithm's Kalman filtering procedure. <br /> <br />As previously mentioned, it turns out that the radar estimate over the town of Buffalo <br /> <br />Creek (the top row of symbols in Fig. 12) was very close to the actual rain gauge measurement <br /> <br />for the case when the default value of 51 dBl was used as a rain rate threshold. The rain gauge <br /> <br />measured 2.68 inches while the PPS estimated 2.51 inches which is only a 6% underestimate. <br /> <br />The range of PPS estimates for the nine surrounding polar bins ranges from 1.41 to 2.81 inches <br /> <br />(Table 3). The largest stonn-total PPS rainfall estimate at any location affected by the flood- <br /> <br />producing storm was 2.85 inches, only two polar grid boxes away from the town of Buffalo <br /> <br />Creek, at an azimuth of 232,5 deg and range of 77 km. Both the town and this largest rainfall <br /> <br />estimate are located within the Buffalo Creek basin and just a short distance upstream of its <br /> <br />outlet where it empties into the North Fork of the South Platte River. <br /> <br />7. Other possible error sources <br /> <br />The integrity of PPS rainfall estimates may be affected by other meteorological and/or <br /> <br />algorithmic factors besides the rain rate threshold adaptable parameter setting. It is possible that <br /> <br />some or all of the radar overestimation bias for this case may be best corrected by using different <br /> <br />l-R parameters that produce lower rainfall accumulations instead of decreasing the rain rate <br /> <br />threshold. Changing the maximum rain rate threshold will only have an impact on the radar <br />19 <br />
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