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<br />208 National Water Summary 1988-89-Floods and Droughts: STATE SUMMARIES <br /> <br />. <br /> <br /> <br />The second precipitation pattern affects the eastern one-half <br />of Colorado during the spring and summer. From the Great Plains <br />to the foothills of the Rocky Mountains, a substantial increase in <br />precipitation begins in early March and continues through June. As <br />temperatures rise, the supply of moisture from the Gulf of Mexico <br />steadily increases over the plains east and southeast of Colorado. <br />Midlatitude frontal systems crossing the region commonly strengthen <br />on the leeward (east) side of the Rocky Mountains and draw this <br />moisture into eastern Colorado. This moisture and increased con- <br />vective activity result in periodic, widespread rainfall and occasion- <br />ally severe thunderstonns east of the mountains. May and June tend <br />to be the wettest months in the northeastern quarter of Colorado. <br />The third precipitation pattern affects the entire State to some <br />extent but is most pronounced in the southern one-half during sum- <br />mer. Subtropical moisture from the Pacific and Atlantic Oceans drifts <br />northward into the southwestern United States each summer. 'This <br />moisture flow, driven by a weak monsoonlike circulation (Schmidli, <br />1984, pA-5), generally begins in early Juiy, peaks near the beginning <br />of August, and then gradually weakens and moves southward in late <br />summer. The monsoon moisture results in the frequent summer <br />thunderstonns in the southern Rocky Mountains. Tropical cyclones <br />from the Pacific Ocean are a related, but less dependable, moisture <br />source for southern Colorado. From late August through October, <br />moisture from dissipating tropical cyclones occasionally spreads <br />across the Southwest and into the southern part of the State. Although <br />not a reliable contributor to precipitation in Colorado, these stonns <br />occasionally produce large quantities of rainfall over the southern <br />Rocky Mountains (Walts, 1972, p. 158-160). At several locations <br />in southwestern Colorado, these stonns arrive frequently enough to <br />make October the wettest month. <br />In addition to the oceans, imponant moisture sources include <br />local and upwind land surfaces, as weB as lakes and reservoirs, from <br />which moisture evaporate:; into the atmosphere. Typically, as a <br />moisture-laden ocean ainnass moves inland, it is modified to include <br />some water that has been recycled one or more times through the <br />land-vegetation-air interface. <br />Floods occur primarily from April through October. Clima- <br />tologically, there are three principal causes for floods in Colorado: <br /> <br />Intense local thunderstorms. Intense <br />thunderstonos that commonly occur from <br />May until early September can cause flash <br />tloods anywhere in the State; however, <br />stonos in higher mountains generally have <br />smaller rainfall intensities and limited areal <br />extent, and floods in mountainous areas are <br />most likely to occur at altitudes below <br />7,500 feet (Jarrett and Costa, 1988). <br />Intense widespread rainfall. Widespread <br />rains are most likely from April to mid-June <br />and are limited to the Great Plains and <br />eastern foothills. However, similar rains <br />occur in the southwestern mountains, es- <br />pecially in September and October, Lo- <br />calized, intense thunderstorms often ac- <br />company these large-scale stonns. <br />Snowmelt. From late April through late <br />June, streamtlows are greater than nonnal <br />in the many rivers that originate in the <br />mountains. Major flooding is most likely <br />when excessive late-winter snowfalls and <br />low temperatures maintain a deep snow- <br />pack throughout a large range of altitudes <br />late into the spring (Shafer and others, <br />1984), Spring rain on snowpack commonly <br />is considered to be a major flood threat, but <br />this condition seldom occurs in Colorado. <br /> <br />Mechanisms that cause drought are more complex than those <br />that cauSe floods. Droughts occur when any or all of the major <br />moisture~delivery patterns are disrupted by large-scale atmospheric <br />changes. When moisture movement is lessened and the frequency <br />of frontal systems crossing the central Rocky Mountains is decreased, <br />such as when large high-pressure ridges develop over the western <br />United States, drought is most likely to develop. <br /> <br />MAJOR FLOODS AND DROUGHTS <br /> <br />From 20 to 30 floods of some significance occur somewhere <br />in Colorado eyery year. Annual flood losses in Colorado have av- <br />eraged four deaths and $14 million in property damage for the period <br />1896-1976. In the past 20 years, nine major-disaster areas have been <br />identified by Presidential declaration because of floodit,lg in Colo- <br />rado. Since Colorado became a State in J 876, floods have killed at <br />least 350 people and caused' cumulative flood losses of about $1.7 <br />billion at present (1988) value (Colorado Water Conservation Board, <br />1985, p. vii), <br />Irrigation is the principal use of surface water in Colorado and <br />in 1980 accounted for 85 percent of all withdrawals. Surface water <br />also provided domestic supplies for 84 percent of Colorado's popu- <br />lation (U.S. Geological Survey, 1986). Because of these large de- <br />pendencies on surface water, shortages during droughts can affect <br />nearly all citizens and most industries. Droughts also can adversely <br />affect the quality of surface-water supplies; concentrations of detri- <br />mental constituents increase during droughts because of lack of flow <br />to dilute the contaminants. <br />'the major floods and droughts described here are those that <br />were of substantial areal extent. In addition, the floods had peak <br />discharges with recurrence intervals of more than 25 years, and the <br />droughts had recurrence intervals of more than 10 years. These major <br />events and other floods of smaller areal extent are listed chronologi- <br />cally in table:l; rivers and cities are shown in figure 2. <br />The evaluation of floods and droughts in Colorado, as deter- <br />mined from Streamflow records, is limited to the period after 1910 <br />when a few continuously recording streamflow-gaging stations were <br /> <br /> <br />.. <br /> <br />60 100 MILES <br />I I <br />100KILOMETEAS <br /> <br />Figure 2. Selected geographic features, Colorado. <br />