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<br />VERSION 1.0 1/12/95 <br /> <br />B-C PROGRAM: Flood Hazard Risk <br /> <br />Flood Elevation <br />vs. Flood Depth <br /> <br />Review of <br />Scientific <br />Notation <br /> <br />This analysis gives the Annual Exceedance Probability for all floods, <br />in one-foot increments of depth. From the Annual Exceedance <br />Probabilities, calculated as described above, the Expected Annual <br />Number of Floods in a given one-foot increment are calculated from <br />the difference in exceedance probabilities of two flood depths. For <br />example, the expected annual number for a 2-foot flood (i.e., all floods <br />between 1.5 and 2.5 feet) at a given site (with a given Zero Flood <br />Depth Elevation) is calculated as the exceedance probability for a 1.5- <br />foot flood minus the exceedance probability for a 2.5-foot flood. <br /> <br />For a given flood (e.g., a 100-yearflood), the elevation of the flood <br />water surface varies with location along the stream as shown by the <br />Flood Profile (see pages 7-2 to 7-4). Furthermore, at a given location <br />along the stream the flood depth corresponding to a 1 OO-year flood <br />varies depending on the Zero Fiood Depth Elevation of the building <br />under evaluation. In the Benefit-Cost Program, the Expected Annual <br />Number of Fioods are shown for each flood depth from -2 to 18 feet <br />for the building under evaluation. For a different building with a <br />different Zero Flood Depth Elevation, the Expected Annual Number <br />of Floods for each flood depth will be different. Thus, for example, the <br />depth of a 1 OO-year flood will differ for buildings at different Zero Flood <br />Depth Elevations. <br /> <br />The annual probabilities of floods are expressed in scientific notation <br />because the probabilities may vary from nearly 1 to much less than 1 in <br />a million (0.000001). Scientific notation is a widely-used convenient <br />method of expressing numbers which vary over a very wide range. <br /> <br />In scientific notation, as in the Calculated Annual Probability of <br />Floods table, numbers are expressed in two parts: a prefix and a <br />power of 10. For example, 6E+02, where 6 is the prefix and +02 is the <br />power of 10, means 6 times 102, or 6 times 100, or 600. <br /> <br />Another way of thinking about scientific notation is that the power of 10 <br />part of the number tells which direction and how much to move the <br />decimal place. Thus, 6E+02 is 6 with the decimal placed moved to <br />places to the positive (right) direction or 600. Thus, 6E+03 is 6000. <br />Scientific notation with negative powers of ten means to move the <br />decimal place to the negative (left) direction. Thus, 6E-02 is 0.06; 6E- <br />03 is 0.006 and so on. E+OO, means don't move the decimal place. <br />Thus, 6E+00 is simply 6. <br /> <br />Scientific notation may seem cumbersome with routine numbers, but it <br />is very convenient when numbers are very large or very small or to <br />compare the relative sizes of very large or small numbers. Thus, 6E- <br />11 is a more convenient way of expressing 0.00000000006. <br /> <br />7-9 <br />