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<br />peak flow for both Gregory Gulch and North Clear Creek using a storm generated <br />runoff method. The OA&A report formed the basis of the current Black Hawk Flood <br />Insurance Study. <br /> <br />In 1987, the Colorado Water Conservation Board wrote the second study, a flood <br />hazard identification report for Central City. A storm runoff method, similar to the <br />method employed in the OA&A study, was used. <br /> <br />In 1991, Central City retained Rocky Mountain Consultants (RMC) to write a <br />hydrology and hydraulic study. The RMC study was the third hydrology study and is <br />more detailed than the previous studies. It still employs a storm runoff analysis, but <br />the study area is divided into 17 sub-basins and analyzed with HEC-1, a network <br />model. RMC also routed flows through the culverts and flumes in the system, and <br />attempted to model the flow which backed into the streets. Several drainage <br />improvements were recommended including the construction of the Dorothy Lee <br />Reservoir. The reservoir reduced the OA&A peak flow estimate of 1240 cfs for <br />Gregory Gulch at the Central City limits, to 969 cfs. The drainage recommendations <br />by RMC were adopted by Central City including the development of the Dorothy Lee <br />Reservoir. Peak flow estimates by RMC were adopted by FEMA in the 1994 Central <br />City Flood Insurance Study. <br /> <br />In 1993, Futura produced the fourth study for Gilpin County. It was an analysis of <br />North Clear Creek, below the Gregory Gulch flume. The results were submitted to <br />FEMA for review. In the Futura report, a regression equation was developed from <br />gage data on similar streams. The flow estimate for North Clear Creek using <br />regression equations, was approximately one-third of the flow estimate calculated by <br />OA&A using a storm runoff method. <br /> <br />In 1995, COOT prepared the fifth hydrology study. The hydrology study addressed <br />Clear Creek below Black Hawk, near the Gilpin County border. COOT developed a <br />regression equation from a frequency analysis of stream gage stations on North Clear <br />Creek and Clear Creek. Peak flow estimates from this study, like the Futura study, are <br />less then storm generated runoff estimates. The COOT flow of 2,050 cfs is higher <br />than the Futura value of 1,460 cfs. <br /> <br />B. Reports Associated with Gregory Gulch <br /> <br />Several reports listed in Table 1 used peak flow estimates, but did not carry out <br />independent hydrology analysis. The first study in this category is the FEMA Flood <br />Insurance Study for Black Hawk, which was written in 1984. The FEMA report is <br />based on the 1980 hydrology study by Owen Ayers & Associates. The 1984 report <br />predates the addition of the Dorothy Lee Reservoir (1991) above Central City, so it <br />does not reflect the 270 cfs flow reduction which the reservoir produces. The FEMA <br />peak flow estimate for Black Hawk, near the Central City limit, is still 1240 cfs. <br /> <br />8 <br />