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. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ANNUAL PEAK FLOW FREQUENCY ANALYSIS Following Bulletin 17.B Guidelines Program peaklq Statlon.09126oo0 Clmarron River Near Clmarron, Co. (All Values cfs) Annual Expected 95% Confidence Umlts Exceedance Bull. 17B Systematic Probability For Bull. 17B Estimates Probability Estimate Record Estimate Lower Upper 0.9950 --- 102 --- ..- ..- 0.9900 -- 136 -- .-- -- 0.9500 431 277 422 364 491 0.9000 496 381 490 428 558 0.8000 589 533 585 521 653 0.5000 818 873 818 743 901 0.2000 1,139 1,205 1,147 1,028 1,288 0.1000 1,355 1,346 1,373 1,206 1,571 0.0400 1,633 1,463 1,672 1,426 1,950 0.0200 1,842 1.520 1,905 1,587 2,248 0.0100 2,053 1,559 2,148 1,746 2,556 0.0050 2,269 1,587 2,403 1,905 2,878 0.0020 2,561 1,611 2,763 2,118 3,324 .. - Data Qualifiers: Code 6 Descnotlon Known effect of regulation or urbanization Station. 09126000 Cimarron River near Clmarron 1.52 5 10,000 '-,-,-r-'-T--,---'----- 1-11 ---------- ,-,-,- 1-1-1- " , " , " , ,-,-, I I III I I I I I I_I_I_\-.--l_-l._--l___l_____ III I I I I I III I I I I I III I I I I I I-,-,-r~-T-~---,----- 1 ) 11 1 1 I I I I I I_ I I I I I I J.,..o- I I I I I I........ _ III I t ,....1 1.-- 1_'_'_L -k ___ _,_ __ __ '_'_'_I./._ ~___,_____ III..... .....1 I I I-I? ,',-T--,---,----. I/t--j..t---j---'-- \ I I I I I l:~:~ ~ ~: ~ ~ ~ ~~ ~ : ~:~ ~ ~ = ~ III I] I I I 1-1-1-1""1-1----1---,----- III I I I I I III I I I I I '_'_'_L--'_!__'___'_____ II (I I I I II I I I I II I II! II I I I I \ I I I I I Return Period (years) 10 25 50 100 r (( T -,- - - - - ( --------1- I - r" -- -- _1_ _ _l.- _ _ __ , , -,- - -r- - - -- , , I I I I -,- - - (- - -- II I I I I I I I- I- I- ~ _1_ -l _ _1_ _ _ I- - _ _ _ III I I I I I II I I I I I 1_- I...)_I....I,_I,~..,J.--r__ II I I...,L""'" I '.1-1"" I I _- I I I ,..-"- I-'.....~ 1 I 1""1' I I I III I I I I III I I I I "-1-'-1--1-----1----- '-1-1-'-1--1-----1----- 1-I-rT-I--I-----I----- ~~~9-1-~--1---~---- III I I I I I 11- 1- '-1- -I - -1- - -t - - -- '_'_I_i_I_--'__I___I_____ III I I I 1 1 II I I I I I I ~ ~ r- t -1-"1 - -1- - - r_ - - -- III I I I I I III I I I I I L L L 1 _1_ --' _ _1_ _ _1_ _ _ __ III I I I I I II I I I I I II I I I I I I! I I 1 I I 1'1 I I I I -Bull. 178 Estimate - - - 95% Confidence Umits - - - 95% Confidence limits .. - u - GO ea 1,000 .. J:: U to C 100 1.000 1130102 gun_co_gageJ)eak.xls 0.100 Exceedance Probability 500 ITT-I-I I I I 1 T 1 \ - C -1- - C - - T - - - -- TTT'-~-I--~--r---- ~~~-l_~_I__I-__~____ III I I I I I TTT'-r'--r--T----- III I I I I I Trr'-r-I--r--r----- II I I I I 1_..... ~~~~+~~- - ~ -- --- III I I I t 1___ I .!-I~ :...--,- I - T \ \ \ I I I II I I I , II I I I I II I I I I II I I I I ill J _1_ _1_ I I III I I , 1---'1-- "'-1-1--1--1---'1----- T T 1-1-( -1- - r - - r - - - -- -t t -t ~ - t- -1- - t_ - - t- - - - -- III I I I I ''1'1-1-1----1---'1----- !! 1 _'_1_ _ _ _1_ _ _1 _ _ _ __ 11111 1 ) III I I I I 1 ~tt"1-t_-I--r_--t_----- 11 I I I I I I II I I I I I I 11!--'_L_I__L__l_____ III I I I I I III I I I I I III I I I I I III I I I I I II I I I I I I 0.010 0.001