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<br />rainfall data are collected upstream from a community. Data are then <br /> <br />transmitted to a central collection point. This information is used to <br /> <br />predict the magnitude of expected flooding, where flooding will occur, when <br /> <br />flooding will begin, when the crest will arrive, and when the stream will <br /> <br />recede below flood stage. This provides potential threat information and the <br /> <br />warning time that is critical for Federal, State, county, and local <br /> <br />organizations to take action to preserve life and property. <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />Within both manual and automated systems there are many approaches, <br /> <br />techniques, and variations that can be applied to meet a particular <br /> <br />community's needs. The generic classifications of manual and automated are <br /> <br />presented here for ease of description. Many installations contain a mix of <br /> <br />automated and manual components. Since each watershed is unique and community <br /> <br />needs vary, a simple classification of automated or manual systems is not <br /> <br />strictly possible. <br /> <br />Manual local flood forecast systems consist of: (1) a data collection system; <br /> <br />(2) a community flash flood coordinator; (3) a simple-to-use flood forecast <br />procedure; and (4) a communication network to distribute warnings to <br /> <br />appropriate emergency response officials, including the mass media and the <br /> <br />National Weather Service (NWS). The forecast system should be linked to a <br /> <br />community response system. Figure 7 illustrates the concept of a manual self- <br /> <br />help local flood forecasting system. Although these systems are simple to <br /> <br />operate, their continuous operation over long periods of time may be <br /> <br />difficult, especially in areas where flooding is infrequent. They can be <br /> <br />surprisingly accurate when adequate data are available. <br /> <br />26 <br />