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<br />I <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />Chapter <br /> <br />4 <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />5 <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />6 <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />7 <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />CONTENTS - continued <br /> <br />Page <br /> <br />DISCUSSION OF RESULTS . , . . . , . . . . . , . . , . . , . . . , <br /> <br />23 <br /> <br />Modifying Influences Upon the Coefficient of Determination . <br />Typical Results from an Entire Group . . <br />Selection of Best Three-Variable Groups. <br />Prediction of Total Runoff Volume. W. . <br /> <br />23 <br />26 <br />26 <br />26 <br /> <br />Physical significance of- variables selected. <br />Comparison with next best group of variables <br />Final regression equation. <br />Predicted versus observed W <br /> <br />26 <br />28 <br />28 <br />28 <br /> <br />Prediction of Hydrograph Peak, qo . <br /> <br />Physical significance of variables selected. <br />Comparison with next best groups of variables. <br />Predicted versus observed qo <br /> <br />28 <br /> <br />28 <br />31 <br />31 <br /> <br />Prediction of Recession Parameter, G <br /> <br />31 <br /> <br />Physical significance of variables selected. <br />Comparison with next best groups of variables <br />Predicted versus observed G . . . . . . . . <br /> <br />31 <br />31 <br />33 <br /> <br />Conventional Versus Statistical Rainfall Parameters <br />Some Successful Predictions of Hydrographs. . . . <br />Limitations in Accurately Predicting a Hydrograph <br /> <br />33 <br />33 <br />33 <br /> <br />MEANS OF PREDICTING A HYDROGRAPH, . , . . . <br /> <br />38 <br /> <br />Obtaining Parameters for Hydrograph Model. <br />Calculation of Hydrograph Model <br />A Sample Problem <br /> <br />38 <br />40 <br />40 <br /> <br />Solution . . <br /> <br />40 <br /> <br />SUGGESTIONS FOR FURTHER RESEARCH <br /> <br />46 <br /> <br />Larger and More Selective Sample Needed. <br /> <br />46 <br /> <br />Degrees of freedom should be increased <br />Small floods should be excluded from the study <br />Larger range in watershed sizes possible <br /> <br />46 <br />46 <br />46 <br /> <br />Watershed Response Characteristics. . . . . . . <br />Need for Statistical Test in Fitting Hydrograph Models <br />Simplification of Practical Application Desired . . . . <br />Physical Laws Should Provide Form of Regression Equations <br />Probability Aspects Concern Designers <br />National Study of Rainstorms is Needed <br /> <br />46 <br />46 <br />46 <br />47 <br />47 <br />47 <br /> <br />SUMMARY. , , . <br /> <br />48 <br /> <br />BIBLIOGRAPHY <br /> <br />49 <br /> <br />APPENDIX, , , . <br /> <br />51 <br /> <br />vi <br />