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<br />I <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />FLOOD HAZARD ESTIMATION FOR LAND USE PLANNING <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />Prior to the Big Thompson Flood, little or no effective flood hazard <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />planning had been done. It has been reported that only one resident of <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />the canyon had flood insurance, and it is clear that few were even aware <br /> <br />of the hazards of flooding in the canyon. The Big Thompson drainage does <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />not have a long history of habitation and therefore does not have a long <br /> <br />record of flooding. In 1938, a flash flood removed a short section of <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />U. S. Highway 34. A peak discharge of 7600 c.f.s., the largest prior to <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />this recent flood, was recorded in 1945. Failure of a small dam on a Big <br /> <br />Thompson tributary took three lives and several homes in 1951. Local <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />residents have also reported a flood in 1965 which damaged roads and ruined <br /> <br />a mill. The next major drainage to the north, the Cache la Poudre River, <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />has a longer record of habitation and more extensive documentation of floods. <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />A major flood in 1864 caused Fort Collins to move to its present location. <br /> <br />Other noteworthy floods occurred in 1874, 1891 and 1904. Judging from des- <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />criptions, two of these were of the same order of magnitude as the Big <br /> <br />Thompson Flood of 1976. <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />Immediately following the Big Thompson Flood, the prevalent opinion ex- <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />pressed by residents was that the canyon is not a suitable place for homes <br /> <br />and that the government should buy the land for recreational or other uses. <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />However, in more recent months, hopes of such an arrangement have faded, <br /> <br />much of the evidence of the flood has been removed, a temporary road has <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />been constructed and "for sale" signs are appearing in great numbers. The <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />prevalent opinion now being expressed is that the July 31 event was a freak <br /> <br />storm and the popular myth is that it has a return period of 500 years. It <br /> <br />I <br />II <br /> <br />appears that economic considerations have replaced the former preoccupation <br /> <br />with safety. <br /> <br />35 <br />