Laserfiche WebLink
<br />Other information supported a small partial failure this early. l. V. Davis, <br />the owner of Cascade Cottages at Cascade lake dam, reported flow was slightly <br />higher than usual at 0700 MDT, before the main flood wave arrived at the dam <br />at about 0715 MDT, Based on available information, it appears that lawn lake <br />dam failure occurred about 0530 MDT, just before sunrise. Because campers <br />along the Roaring River understandably were more concerned with fleeing the <br />wall of water, their estimates of time may be only approximate. Observers <br />along the remainder of the flood path were easily able to distinguish the <br />leading edge of muddy floodwaters from the normally clear streamflow. Accord- <br />i ng to Stephen Gi 11 ette, a truck dri ver for A-I Trash Servi ces, who was the <br />first to report the flood at 0623 MDT, floodwaters reached Horseshoe Falls at <br />about 0615 MDT and U. S. Hi ghway 34 in Horseshoe Park at 0634 MDT (fi g. 1). <br />Accordi ng to Mr. Davi s, floodwaters reached Cascade lake dam at 0715 MDT, <br />causing its failure at 0742 MDT. ~stes Park police reported that floodwaters <br />reached Estes Park a little after 0830 MDT. Floodwaters reached 06733000 Big <br />Thompson River at Estes Park streamflow-gaging station (Site 6) at 0835 MDT, <br />and personnel of the U.S. Bureau of Reclamation reported that water levels <br />started rising in lake Estes at 0841 MDT. <br /> <br />It was more diffi cult to determi ne when the peak was occurri ng, as no <br />distinctive hydraulic feature existed. Both Rann Schultz and Dan Davis of the <br />National Park Service, as well as Stephen Gillette, provided information to <br />estimate that the peak followed the leading edge by less than 40 min, or about <br />0700 MDT, at U.S. Highway 34 in Horseshoe Park (fig. 1). As the flood trav- <br />eled only 0.6 mi through the flatter Horseshoe Park, this estimate appeared <br />qui te long, cons I deri ng that the flood was a "wall of water" in the Roari ng <br />River. Based on information provided by Rann Schultz, the peak followed the <br />leading edge by about 25 min, or aPout 0748 MDT, at the Aspenglen Campground <br />access road, located 0.4 mi downstream from Cascade lake dam, Dave Thomas, <br />broadcasting the flood's progress from a KSIR radio mobile-transmitter station <br />1.2 mi upstream from Estes Park, indicated the peak followed the leading edge <br />by 18 min, or at 0830 MDT. Based on a stage hydrograph reconstruction at <br />06733000 Big Thompson River at Estes Park streamflow-gaging station, just <br />upstream from lake Estes, the peak fo 11 owed the 1 eadi ng edge by 30 mi n or at <br />0905 MDT, Inflow to lake Estes peaked between 0910 MDT and 0915 MDT (use 0912 <br />MDT for the peak time), or 25 min after the lake began rising. Unfortunately, <br />because of limited and approximate peak-time data, it is not possible to <br />determi ne whether the peak was movi ng faster than the 1 eadi ng edge of the <br />flood wave, as would be expected. <br /> <br />A summary of .data related to time of flooding prepared by Graham and <br />Brown (1983) is shown in table 6 and graphically summarized in figure 15. The <br />lower line in figure 15 corresponds to the arrival time of the flood; the <br />upper line in figure 15 corresponds .to the peak time of the flood. <br />Traveltimes for the arrival time of the flood were summarized for three <br />channel segments, based on fairly uniform reach traveltimes (fig. 15). The <br />speed of the leading edge of the flood (and probably the peak) averaged 9.1 <br />mi/h (miles per hour) in the Roaring River, 2.1 mi/h in the Fall River through <br />Horseshoe Park, and 4.0 mi/h from Cascade lake dam on the Fall River to lake <br />Estes, Overall the speed of the leading edge of the flood averaged 3,8 mi/h. <br />Considering the high-gradient channels, these traveltimes were slow. Appar- <br />ently, this slowness was because the channels were extremely rough, and <br />tremendous amounts of debris in the water, particularly in the Roaring River, <br />produced the slow speed of the flood wave. <br /> <br />31 <br />