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Last modified
1/29/2010 10:11:48 AM
Creation date
10/4/2006 10:33:40 PM
Metadata
Fields
Template:
Floodplain Documents
County
Weld
Boulder
Community
Weld, Boulder Counties
Stream Name
Big Thompson River
Title
Meteorological Aspects of the Big Thompson Flash Flood of 31 July 1976
Date
7/1/1977
Prepared For
State of Colorado
Prepared By
NOAA
Floodplain - Doc Type
Flood Documentation Report
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<br /> <br />shower activity, lay generally to the rear of <br />the trailing front over the plains. This <br />cloudiness persisted through the after- <br />noon, and the reduction in insolation <br />helped to maintain the thermal contrast <br />across the trailing front. <br />The 1920 GMT Sterling sounding <br />(Fig. 13) was taken about 40 km to the rear <br /> <br />of the trailing front and exhibited impor- <br />tant differences from the Sterling and Den- <br />ver morning soundings. The L.I. had de- <br />creased from + 1 to -4, while the LFC had <br />lowered 160 mb to 640 mb. Precipitable <br />water contents of 0.78 in (1. 97 cm) in the <br />lowest 150 mb layer and of 1.31 in (3.34 cm) <br />in the surface-to-500 mb layer were almost <br />double the July means for Denver. Winds <br />above a temperature inversion (considered <br />to be offronta] origin) at 720 mb were west- <br />erlyat 10 to 20 kt (5-10 m S-l), indicating <br />that Sterling was very near the upper ridge- <br />line, Easterly low level flow had increased <br />to 10 to 15 kt (5-8 m S-l). The Sterling <br />sonde had sampled the air mass just behind <br />the trailing front and found it to be condi- <br />tionally very unstable with an unusually <br />high moisture content. This air mass re- <br />quired lifting of approximately 140 mb to <br />release its instability, and was moving <br />westward and southwestward toward the <br />Colorado Front Range at is to 20 kt (8-10 m <br />S-l). <br />The 2000 GMT regional analysis (Fig. <br />14a) showed that the leading front had re- <br />mained nearly stationary except over <br />southwestern Kansas and southeastern <br />Colorado. Veering winds and decreasing <br />dewpoints at Garden City and Dodge City, <br />Kansas, indicated that the leading front had <br />retreated northward in this region. The <br />trailing front had moved southward and <br />westward and was about to overtake the <br />leclding front across southern Kansas. <br />Radar and satellite data (Figs. 14b and <br />c) showed that convective cloud and thun- <br />derstorm activity had continued to in- <br />crease. The Utah squall line had intensified <br />and was moving north-northeastward. <br />Large thunderstorms had developed over <br /> <br />16 <br /> <br />northwestern New Mexico and southwest- <br />ern Colorado. An intense thunderstorm <br />had formed along the leading frontal <br />boundarv in southeastern Colorado. Small <br />cumulus' clouds dotted most of the Plains <br />and a line of small cumulonimbus and tow'- <br />ering cumulus clouds had be!-,'l.lll to de- <br />velop along the secondary frontal surge as it <br />moved onto the Palmer Ridge. <br />By 2200 GMT (see Fig. 15a) the trail- <br />ing front had overtaken and reinforced the <br />leading front across Kansas. It had become <br />better defined with higher dewpoints and <br />stronger easterly winds behind it. High <br />temperatures in eastern Colorado m;d <br />Kansas had helped trigger a line of thun- <br />derstorms along and to the rear of the front. <br />The large storm in eastern Colorado had a <br />top indicated by radar (Fig. 15b) of 56,000 <br />ft MSL (17 km). The storms in this line <br />appeared nearly circular on the satellite <br />photograph (Fig. 15c), which indicated that <br />they had developed in a low wind shear <br />environment. <br />Surface pressure had continued to fall <br />west of the Continental Divide, and the <br />surface low pressure area was centered <br />north of Grand Junction. The pressure at <br />Rawlins, Wyoming, only 150 n mi (278 km) <br />to the northeast, was holding 10 mb higher <br />than that at Grand Junction. Thunderstorm <br />activity was widespread over the \Vest with <br />large, apparently intense storms indicated <br />over northwestern New Ylexico, south- <br />western Colorado, and central Utah. Some <br />thunderstorms had developed over the <br />north-central mountains in Colorado; how- <br />ever, they remained well west of the Big <br />Thompson drainage. <br />A final sounding was taken at Sterling <br />at 2202 GMT (Fig. 16) when the trailing <br />front was located approximately 120 km t~ <br />the west. During the 2 hand 40 min that <br />had elapsed since the 1920 GMT sounding <br />several important changes in the air mass <br />had occurred. The mean vapor mixing ratio <br />in the lowest 100 mb layer had decreased <br />1.3 g kg-! to 12.5 g kg-I. The L.I. had <br />increased to a value of -2 (indicating more <br /> <br />
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