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<br />I <br />II <br />, <br /> <br /> <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br /> <br />The area and rainfall discrepancies appear to warrant a reevaluation of South <br />Boulder Creek hydrology and perhaps other watershed hydrology by the Corps that <br />is still being used. such as Boulder Creek. <br /> <br />CORPS' MODELING CALIBRATION AND SENSITIVITY TESTS <br /> <br />From review of the information provided, it is apparent that the Corps' work was <br />strongly oriented toward calibration to a Boulder Creek gaging station two miles <br />upstream from its confluence with the St. Vrain. The tributary area to the <br />confluence was reported as 440 square miles. The gaging record encompassed 28 <br />years, from 1927 to 1949 and from 1951 through 1955. The Corps conducted a <br />statistical analysis of this data using procedures outlined Bulletin No. 1 7 of the <br />Federal Water Resources Council and corrected for expected probability. The <br />watershed SWMM model and lower basin stream routing modeled was apparently <br />"calibrated" to result in a discharge frequency curve similar to the statistical data, as <br />evidenced by a comparative plot of the model results. <br /> <br />Some of the key parameters settled upon by the Corps in comparison with values <br />typically used in UDFCD and Boulder manuals are given in Table 111-1. As stated <br />before, the rainfall used by the Corps is low for the 1 hour and shorter incremental <br />peak rainfall, leading to an under prediction of peak flows. <br /> <br />The use of steady state infiltrations of 0.5 inches per hour in urban areas and 1.0 <br />inches per hour in the mountains, the significant increase in urban percent <br />impervious that has occurred, and the rather unusual parameters used for <br />depression storage, may result in somewhat compensating effects. <br /> <br />III - 5 <br />