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FLOOD01653
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Last modified
11/23/2009 12:58:12 PM
Creation date
10/4/2006 10:14:09 PM
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Template:
Floodplain Documents
County
Larimer
Community
Larimer County
Stream Name
Big Thompson River
Title
Evaluation of the Flood Hydrology in the Colorado Front Range Using Streamflow Records and Paleoflood Data for the Big Thompson River Basin
Date
5/1/1986
Prepared For
USGS
Prepared By
USGS
Floodplain - Doc Type
Educational/Technical/Reference Information
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<br />The standard error of estimate, correlation-coefficient, and number of <br /> <br />sites included in each equation (for the 100-year recurrence interval) are <br /> <br />shown in Table 3. For the equations using total drainage area or drainage <br /> <br />area above an elevation level, the standard error of estimate is very <br /> <br />large, and the correlation coefficient is relatively small, indicating <br /> <br />poor relations. The poor relation between the 100-year rainfall flood and <br /> <br />the total drainage area for sites in the South Platte River Basin is shown <br /> <br />in Figure 8a. Regression using drainages above a specified elevation level <br /> <br />are not significant. For the drainage area below a given elevation level, <br /> <br />the standard error of estimate is large until the 8,000-foot (2,438-meter) <br /> <br />level where the standard error of estimate decreases. Similarly, the <br /> <br />correlation coefficient is maximum at this elevation level; therefore, the <br /> <br />drainage area below 8,000 feet (2,438 meters) was selected as the best area <br /> <br />to use to estimate the rainfall flood characteristics in this region. The <br /> <br />improved relation for the 100-year rainfall flood and the drainage area <br /> <br />below 8,000 feet (2,438 meters) for the South Platte River Basin is shown <br /> <br />in Figure 8b. The standard error of estimate improved from 142 to 44 <br /> <br />percent by using the drainage area below 8,000 feet (2,438 meters) rather <br /> <br />than total drainage area in the 100-year regression model. The standard <br /> <br />error of estimate was 207 percent for all 27 stations for the total drain- <br /> <br />age area in the 100-year regression model. An elevation of 7,500 feet <br /> <br />(2,300 meters) may improve the regression results slightly; however, the <br /> <br />1:250,000-scale topographic maps used do not have this contour line so <br /> <br />difficult interpolation would have to be done. <br /> <br />//~ <br /> <br />~ .~""---- <br />
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