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<br />simplify their systems to the degree necessary to make use of the more automated <br />optimization procedures, The belief among planners is that the simplifications <br />result in not capturing the essence of the system performance and component <br />interactions. <br />This paper describes a technique that has been developed and programmed <br />into an existing Hydrologic Engineering Center (HEC) computer model (6) that <br />provides an estimate of the "best" size of the individual components of a <br />complex interrelated system of urban flood-control works while using techniques <br />of analysis that are very near to the present state-of-the-art in the Corps of <br />Engineers in hydrologic modeling, cost analysis, and economic damage-frequency <br />analysis, "Best" is defined as the combination of component sizes that yield <br />the maximum value of system net benefits while observing performance standard <br />constraints, if they exist. This capability has been developed so that a system <br />consisting of up to six detention storage reservoirs, two within or out of basin <br />diversions, and two pumping facilities can be automatically sized, <br />The technique that has been developed is designed to be compatible with <br />present urban flood-control plan formulation methodology, The objective in <br />its development was the creation of the capability for performing the studies <br />in the usual fashion but to remove the tedium of searching for the best component <br />sizes for each system alternative and thus lIncourage the study of a wider range <br />of system alternatives than might otherwise be considered. Within this framework, <br />the technique will also permit study of the relative sensitivity of the system <br />to changes in facility costs, project discount rates, flood-plain land-use controls, <br />and hydrologic performance standards, so that an array of information can <br />be easily developed that could be used in formulating a desired management <br />plan. <br /> <br />PLAN foRMULATION METHODOLOGY <br /> <br />The technique has been developed to be as compatible with current urban <br />flood-control plan formulation methodology as possible. A brief conceptual review <br />of the plan formulation and evaluation process in urban flood-control studies <br />should assist in understanding the development of the technique and its probable <br />role in planning studies, <br />Plan formulation begins when public meetings are held and investigations <br />are initiated to determine the broad social objectives within the study area, <br />The social objectives primarily serve to assist in defining: (I) The concerns <br />of the public; (2) concep!s to be used in structuring alternatives; and (3) technical <br />objectives and criteria that will be used in structuring the technologic components <br />of management alternatives. For example, such social objectives as alleviating <br />a specific dangerous flooding situation, providing a regional recreation opportu- <br />nity, removing the cause of stunted economic growth, and providing a better <br />community environment would be translated into a range of management <br />alternatives that would consider the location and severity of flooding, possibilities <br />of joint site use for specific temporary detention storage and urban recreations, <br />and appropriate performance standards for components of the systems. The <br />technical analysis is then performed to define the performance of the alternative <br />systems and assess their economic, social, and environmental assets and liabilities, <br />The information developed by these analyses is used in successive refinement <br /> <br />,. <br /> <br />.:: <br />