<br />the passage over the Denver area of the long-lived
<br />convective feature traceable in infrared satellite im-
<br />agery all the way back to central New Mexico (Fig. 5),
<br />The development of the bow echo in the weakly
<br />sheared environment illustrated in Figs, 7c-d is par-
<br />tially consistent with modeling simulations discussed
<br />by Weisman and Davis (1998), The Weissman and
<br />Davis study indicates that bow echoes can develop in
<br />environments of weak vertical wind shear (e.g.,
<br />10 m s-I/2,5 Ian) where there is large CAPE (2500-
<br />4500 J kg-I), However, such values of CAPE well
<br />exceed those associated with the environment of the
<br />FCL flood (868 J kg-I). The bow echo in this case did
<br />not produce the strong surface winds that are often as-
<br />sociated with such phenomena (Przbylinski 1995), It
<br />did, however, exhibit a rear-inflow jet and weak cir-
<br />culation features that resembled bookend vortices (a
<br />lower-tropospheric cyclonic circulation on the north
<br />end and an anticyclonic circulation on the south; con-
<br />firmed by dual-Doppler observations and discussed in
<br />section 7b) consistent with previous studies of bow
<br />echoes (Fujita 1978; Weisman 1993).
<br />During the 4- h period represented in Figs, 7 a-d
<br />there is a remarkable contrast between the convection
<br />to the south of FCL, characterized by the mobile bow
<br />echo, and that over FCL, characterized by quasi-
<br />stationary convection, What accounted for this differ-
<br />ence is unclear, However, convergence associated
<br />with the Denver cyclone and the convective feature
<br />visible on infrared satellite imagery (Fig, 5) crossing
<br />the Denver area from the southwest may have helped
<br />to initiate the transitory convective phenomenon in the
<br />Denver area, The flow in the FCL area was not influ-
<br />enced by the Denver cyclone as it arrived unimpeded
<br />by this topographic circulation throughout the period
<br />of the flood, However, it does appear to have been in-
<br />fluenced somewhat by the bow echo that passed to the
<br />south, Comparison of analyses at 2000 and 2100 MDT
<br />(Figs, 7c-d) indicates an acceleration of the east-
<br />southeasterly flow between these two times, appar-
<br />ently in response to the surface downdraft outflow
<br />behind the bow echo, Further, winds in the immedi-
<br />ate vicinity of FCL became more easterly during this
<br />period, implying an increase in the component of the
<br />flow normal to the north-south-oriented foothills just
<br />west of FCL. These changes increased the moisture
<br />flux into the FCL area at approximately the same time
<br />that the third, and heaviest, rainfall episode developed
<br />(Fig,I),
<br />
<br />Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
<br />
<br />6. The roles of preconditioning and
<br />triggering in the storm environment
<br />
<br />Surface upslope flow was the primary precondi-
<br />tioner for the FCL storm because the high humidity
<br />associated with the easterly winds meant that relatively
<br />little lifting was necessary to raise boundary layer air
<br />to its LFC at 690 hPa (compared to an LFC of 620 hPa
<br />for the BT storm; Caracena et al, 1979), Unlike the BT
<br />storm, where a front combined with orographic lift
<br />provided the primary trigger for convection (Caracena
<br />et al, 1979), the ouly apparent' trigger for the initial
<br />area of convection associated with the FCL storm was
<br />the foothills, For example, considering only the east-
<br />erly component of the wind profile (approximately or-
<br />thogonal to the foothills) presented in Fig. 6, it can be
<br />inferred that the lowest 1-1.5 Ian of the troposphere
<br />would have been lifted upon encountering the foothills
<br />west ofFCL (Fig, 2), This situation contrasts somewhat
<br />with the BT flood; namely, the lower LFC in the FCL
<br />case would have permitted generation of heavy rain-
<br />fall as the flow reached its first pronounced orographic
<br />lift on the west side of FCL, Of course, it is too sim-
<br />plistic to think of forcing throughout the storm ouly in
<br />terms of the foothills orography, It is likely that other
<br />factors such as outflow boundaries (which played a
<br />role in cell initiation near FCL later in the event; cf,
<br />section 7), latent and sensible heating gradients, and pres-
<br />sure perturbations also played roles in the distribution of
<br />convection and heavy rainfall along the Front Range,
<br />In the few hours before the flood, the wind profiler
<br />in Platteville, Colorado (about 45 Ian southeast of
<br />FCL), registered a 5..,8 m S-I wind that veered from
<br />southeasterly to southerly over the lowest 2 Ian of the
<br />troposphere. Satellite-derived cloud-drift wind vector
<br />fields (at approximately I Ian AGL) were calculated
<br />from GOES-9 visible imagery for two periods on 28
<br />July (1400-1423 and 1700-1723 MDT; Figs, 8a,b)
<br />using three images per period, Consistent with the
<br />wind profiler data, at 1416 MDT (Fig. 8a) the c1oud-
<br />drift winds also indicate the presence of a 5 m S-1 low-
<br />level southeasterly wind, However, at 1715 MDT
<br />(Fig, 8b) the cloud-drift winds suggest that the winds
<br />backed slightly, becoming more east-southeasterly and
<br />increasing in speed by 5 m S-I, The increase in upslope
<br />flow over the plains of northeastern Colorado (also
<br />
<br />3The nearest resolvable front was almost 700 kIn south when
<br />the Fort Collins storm developed. It is possible that a proximate
<br />boundary did exist but was not apparent in the conventional
<br />observations.
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<br />199
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