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<br />6 <br /> <br />- FUTURE FLOODS - <br /> <br />Flooded Areas <br /> <br />Flood Frequency and Discharge <br /> <br />Floods of the same and greater magnitude as those that have oc- <br />curred in the past will occur in the future. With development <br />in the basin, flooding will occur more frequently. The dis- <br />charges reported on Figures 3 and 4 for the 2-, 10- and 100-year <br />flood frequencies represent the relative extent and impact of <br />each flood event. The discharge information is usable not only <br />for flood plain regulation but also for planning, engineering <br />and flood plain improvement. <br /> <br />The 100-year flood plain limits and water surface profiles are <br />shown on the attached Flood Hazard Area Delineation Maps, Sheets <br />3 through 20. The computed 100-year flood elevations at each <br />reference point are tabulated in Tables 5 and 6. A descriptiQn of <br />the extent of flooding is discussed in the following paragraphs. <br /> <br />Goldsmith Gulch - The flood plain limits and flood profiles for <br />Goldsmith Gulch are shown on the Flood Hazard Area Delineation Maps, <br />Sheets 3 through 17. <br /> <br />The 100-year flood event, which can be expected to occur at any <br />time in a given area, based upon recorded historical precipitation <br />and other valid data, has a one percent chance of being equalled <br />or exceeded during anyone year. The 100-year flood event pro- <br />vides a lower risk of failure than the 10-year or 50-year flood <br />event, when considering structural flood plain improvements. <br /> <br />The 100-year flood event is considered by the Urban Drainage and <br />Flood Control District, the Colorado Water Conservation Board, and <br />the Federal Insurance Administration as the flood magnitude for <br />which flood plains should be designated for regulatory and im- <br />provement purposes. In Colorado, the 100-year flood plain rep- <br />resents an area of state interest as defined in H.B. 1041. <br /> <br />In the reach from Cherry Creek to Mexico Avenue the 100-year flood <br />plain encompasses Cook Park. The park has no damageable development <br />as the parking lot and sports complex buildings are raised above the <br />100-year flood plain. The western edge of the flood plain is de- <br />fined by the houses along the west side of Monaco. The houses <br />fronting on the street are out of the flood plain with the exception <br />of the houses north of Floyd Avenue which are in the combined flood <br />plain of Cherry Creek and Goldsmith Gulch. This area is shown on <br />Drawings G-l and G-2. Figure 5 provides a view of the Mexico Avenue <br />Crossing. <br /> <br />The 2- and 10-year recurrence flood magnitudes have also been cal- <br />culated at various design points along each creek. These flood <br />magnitudes represent events which can cause damage but would not <br />inundate the area characteristic of a 100-year event. The peak <br />flows for these events should be used in the planning and engi- <br />neering of improvements where the higher risk of failure or <br />damage is economically feasible and the hazard to life and property <br />is lower or non-existent. <br /> <br />The reach from Mexico to Evans represents one of the major problem <br />areas on Goldsmith Gulch. The channel is very narrow and constricted <br />and as a consequence, the flooding of surrounding properties is <br />extensive. Major problems include inadequate crossing structures <br />and small channels with sharp bends such as the 900 bend in the <br />12' x 7' narrow, concrete channel around the tennis court near <br />Monaco and Jewell. The section of channel between Monaco and <br />Mexico is well defined although it is inadequate to carry the <br />100-year flood. The houses on both sides of the channel through <br />this reach will be subject to flooding during the 100-year storm. <br />Also, there will be flood waters on Monaco Boulevard from Cherry <br />Creek upstream to Iliff. Flood depths may be 1 to 1.5 feet. A <br />view of the Jewell Avenue crossing is provided in Figure 6. <br /> <br />Flood magnitudes greater than the 100-year flood magnitude can <br />and will occur. Land improvement adjacent to the 100-year flood <br />plain limit should consider the chance for possible flood damage. <br />