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<br />effect and overbank flows. As floodflows increase, masses of <br />debris may break loose from one bridge and cause a wall of water <br />and debris to surge downstream to another obstruction. In some <br />instances, debris may collect and cause structural damage. <br /> <br />The Town of Holyoke has little history of flooding. Information <br />on historical floods that have occurred in the study area is <br />limited to that on historical rainfalls and in newspaper files. <br />Stream-gaging stations (Reference 3) within the Frenchman Creek <br />basin (Table 1) show a limited flood history. <br /> <br />The following information on historical rainfall was taken from <br />newspaper accounts in the Holyoke Enterprise on July 26, 1963 <br />(Reference 4): <br /> <br />Five-inch rain at Amherst; 3.21 inches on government <br />gage at Holyoke (mostly within 1 hour); 3.5 inches at <br />other places in Holyoke; 2.5 inches at Sterling flooded <br />basements and some general stores; 2.5 inches east of <br />Holyoke; 2 inches 4 miles south of Holyoke. One of the <br />heaviest rainfalls ever experienced in Holyoke over <br />such a short period of time (less than 1 hour). <br />Mentioned damage to one home in Amherst but nothing at <br />Holyoke. <br /> <br />2.4 Flood Protection Measures <br /> <br />No flood-control structures exist in the Town of Holyoke. <br /> <br />3.0 ENGINEERING METHODS <br /> <br />For the flooding sources studied in detail in the community, standard <br />hydrologic and hydraulic study methods were used to determine the flood <br />hazard data required for this study. Flood events of a magnitude which <br />are expected to be equaled or exceeded once on the average during any <br />10-, 50-, 100-, or 500-year period (recurrence interval) have been <br />selected as having special significance for flood plain management and <br />for flood insurance rates. These events, commonly termed the 10-, 50-, <br />100-, and 500-year floods, have a 10, 2, 1, and 0.2 percent chance, <br />respectively, of being equaled or exceeded during any year. Although <br />the recurrence interval represents the long term average period between <br />floods of a specific magnitude, rare floods could occur at short <br />intervals or even within the same year. The risk of experiencing a rare <br />flood increases when periods greater than 1 year are considered. For <br />example, the risk of having a flood which equals or exceeds the 100-year <br />flood (1 percent chance of annual exceedence) in any 50-year period is <br />approximately 40 percent (4 in 10), and, for any 90-year periOd, the <br />risk increases to approximately 60 percent (6 in 10). The analyses <br />reported herein reflect flooding potentials based on conditions existing <br />in the community at the time of completion of this study. Maps and <br />flood elevations will be amended periodically to reflect future changes. <br /> <br />5 <br />